Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Agents of SHIELD Enters in the Lower Half of the Rankings, Blood and Treasure Starts in the Top 10

ABC’s Agents of SHIELD has been back for its sixth season for a few weeks but I did not add it to the Scorecard yet because it really counts more as a Summer show.  But now that we have wrapped up the regular season, I have added it to the rankings and it starts off in the lower half at the Number 25 slot.  That is only a little past the midway point, though, and this show tends to do better in delayed viewing.  Plus, it has already been renewed for a seventh season.  The new CBS Summer series Blood and Treasure enters higher in the rankings at the Number 8 slot.  But that is because it had a decent premiere and I have its benchmark set at the same level CBS renewed Salvation two years ago.  I expect this one to slip some in the rankings over the coming weeks, but it is at least off to a good start.  The CW’s The 100 dropped five slots (from Number 13 to Number 18), but that is because it is flying solo now with no lead-in from The Flash, and it has already been renewed for a seventh season. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week in our latest Weekly Roundup post.

The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through May 26th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) Game of Thrones (O) HBO 5.17 0.50 933.7% Final Season
2 (2) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.88 0.50 276.1% Renewed
3 (3) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.96 0.30 219.7% Renewed
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.62 0.31 102.6% Renewed
5 (5) The Purge (O) USA 0.41 0.30 36.0% Renewed
6 (6) Supernatural (O) CW 0.40 0.31 30.9% Renewed
7 (7) Manifest (O) NBC 1.25 1.04 20.3% Renewed
8 (n/a) Blood and Treasure (O) CBS 0.60 0.50 20.0% Renewal Possible
9 (8) Supergirl (O) CW 0.35 0.31 16.0% Renewed
10 (9) Riverdale (O) CW 0.35 0.31 14.5% Renewed
11 (10) Arrow (O) CW 0.34 0.31 11.6% Renewed
12 (11) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.19 0.17 10.9% Renewed
13 (12) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -1.8% Renewed
14 (14) Legacies (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -1.8% Renewed
15 (15) The Passage (O) FOX 0.92 0.94 -2.6% Cancelled
16 (16) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.29 0.31 -3.9% Renewed
17 (17) God Friended Me (O) CBS 0.89 0.93 -5.3% Renewed
18 (13) The 100 (O) CW 0.28 0.31 -10.0% Renewed
19 (18) Roswell New Mexico (O) CW 0.27 0.31 -11.9% Renewed
20 (19) Deadly Class (O) Syfy 0.15 0.17 -12.9% Renewal Possible
21 (20) Siren (O) Freeform 0.17 0.20 -13.1% Renewed
22 (21) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.31 0.36 -13.6% Renewed
23 (22) Outlander (O) Starz 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
24 (23) Charmed (O) CW 0.26 0.31 -15.2% Renewed
25 (n/a) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.40 0.50 -20.0% Renewed
26 (24) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.83 1.04 -20.6% Renewed
27 (25) The Orville (O) FOX 0.74 0.94 -21.8% Renewed
28 (26) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.08 0.10 -22.0% Renewed
29 (27) Z Nation (F) Syfy 0.13 0.17 -23.5% Cancelled
30 (28) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.70 0.93 -25.6% Renewed
31 (29) Gotham (O) FOX 0.63 0.94 -33.6% Final Season
32 (30) iZombie (O) CW 0.20 0.31 -34.5% Final Season
33 (31) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.61 0.94 -35.6% Cancelled
34 (32) Nightflyers Syfy 0.11 0.17 -36.9% Cancelled
35 (33) What We Do in the Shadows (O) FX 0.18 0.30 -39.6% Renewed
36 (34) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.12 0.20 -40.0% On the Bubble
37 (36) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.7% Renewed
38 (35) Happy (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.8% On the Bubble
39 (37) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.04 0.08 -46.9% Cancelled
40 (38) American Gods (O) Starz 0.10 0.20 -50.6% Renewed
41 (39) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -57.8% Cancelled
42 (40) Midnight Texas (O) (F) NBC 0.41 1.04 -60.4% Cancelled
43 (41) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.19 0.50 -61.8% Cancelled
44 (42) Mars NGC 0.06 0.16 -65.6% On the Bubble
45 (43) Counterpart Starz 0.05 0.20 -75.5% Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

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