AMC’s supernatural drama NOS4A2 slipped three more slots in the rankings, dropping from Number 39 to Number 42. That show’s ratings have been on the decline the last few weeks and I have moved it to Bubble status as it approaches the end of its first season. VH1’s Scream enters the rankings at the Number 33 slot, though take that with a grain of salt since I do not have much historical data for that network. The CW’s The Outpost enters at Number 46, but that show is an acquisition and it may be more dependent upon its international viewership. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week in our latest Weekly Roundup post.
The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below). Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.
Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through July 14th:
| Rank (PW) | Series | Net | Std Avg | Net Bench | % Var | Status |
| 1 (1) | Game of Thrones (O) | HBO | 5.17 | 0.50 | 933.7% | Final Season |
| 2 (2) | The Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 1.88 | 0.50 | 276.1% | Renewed |
| 3 (3) | American Horror Story (O) | FX | 0.96 | 0.30 | 219.7% | Renewed |
| 4 (4) | The Flash (O) | CW | 0.62 | 0.31 | 102.6% | Renewed |
| 5 (5) | The Purge (O) | USA | 0.41 | 0.30 | 36.0% | Renewed |
| 6 (6) | Supernatural (O) | CW | 0.40 | 0.31 | 30.9% | Renewed |
| 7 (7) | Manifest (O) | NBC | 1.25 | 1.04 | 20.3% | Renewed |
| 8 (8) | Supergirl (O) | CW | 0.35 | 0.31 | 16.0% | Renewed |
| 9 (9) | Riverdale (O) | CW | 0.35 | 0.31 | 14.5% | Renewed |
| 10 (10) | Arrow (O) | CW | 0.34 | 0.31 | 11.6% | Renewed |
| 11 (11) | The Magicians (O) | Syfy | 0.19 | 0.17 | 10.9% | Renewed |
| 12 (12) | Fear the Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 0.53 | 0.50 | 6.4% | Renewal Possible |
| 13 (18) | Final Space (O) | ADSW | 0.28 | 0.28 | -1.2% | Renewal Possible |
| 14 (13) | Black Lightning (O) | CW | 0.30 | 0.31 | -1.8% | Renewed |
| 15 (14) | Legacies (O) | CW | 0.30 | 0.31 | -1.8% | Renewed |
| 16 (15) | The Passage (O) | FOX | 0.92 | 0.94 | -2.6% | Cancelled |
| 17 (16) | Legends of Tomorrow (O) | CW | 0.29 | 0.31 | -3.9% | Renewed |
| 18 (17) | God Friended Me (O) | CBS | 0.89 | 0.93 | -5.3% | Renewed |
| 19 (21) | Roswell New Mexico (O) | CW | 0.27 | 0.31 | -11.9% | Renewed |
| 20 (20) | The InBetween (O) | NBC | 0.44 | 0.50 | -12.0% | On the Bubble |
| 21 (19) | Blood and Treasure (O) | CBS | 0.44 | 0.50 | -12.5% | Renewed |
| 22 (22) | Deadly Class (O) | Syfy | 0.15 | 0.17 | -12.9% | Cancelled |
| 23 (23) | Project Blue Book (O) | History | 0.31 | 0.36 | -13.6% | Renewed |
| 24 (24) | Outlander (O) | Starz | 0.17 | 0.20 | -15.0% | Renewed |
| 25 (25) | Charmed (O) | CW | 0.26 | 0.31 | -15.2% | Renewed |
| 26 (26) | Siren (O) | Freeform | 0.16 | 0.20 | -19.6% | Renewed |
| 27 (27) | Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) | ABC | 0.40 | 0.50 | -20.0% | Renewed |
| 28 (28) | The Good Place (O) | NBC | 0.83 | 1.04 | -20.6% | Renewed |
| 29 (29) | The Orville (O) | FOX | 0.74 | 0.94 | -21.8% | Renewed |
| 30 (30) | Star Wars Resistance (O) | Disney | 0.08 | 0.10 | -22.0% | Renewed |
| 31 (32) | Z Nation (F) | Syfy | 0.13 | 0.17 | -23.5% | Cancelled |
| 32 (31) | The 100 (O) | CW | 0.23 | 0.31 | -23.6% | Renewed |
| 33 (n/a) | Scream | MTV | 0.23 | 0.30 | -24.4% | On the Bubble |
| 34 (33) | MacGyver (O) (F) | CBS | 0.70 | 0.93 | -25.6% | Renewed |
| 35 (34) | Gotham (O) | FOX | 0.63 | 0.94 | -33.6% | Final Season |
| 36 (35) | iZombie (O) | CW | 0.20 | 0.31 | -34.5% | Final Season |
| 37 (36) | Krypton | Syfy | 0.11 | 0.17 | -35.3% | On the Bubble |
| 38 (37) | The Gifted (O) | FOX | 0.61 | 0.94 | -35.6% | Cancelled |
| 39 (38) | Nightflyers | Syfy | 0.11 | 0.17 | -36.9% | Cancelled |
| 40 (40) | Cloak and Dagger (O) | Freeform | 0.12 | 0.20 | -40.0% | On the Bubble |
| 41 (41) | What We Do in the Shadows (O) | FX | 0.18 | 0.30 | -40.0% | Renewed |
| 42 (39) | NOS4A2 (O) | AMC | 0.21 | 0.35 | -40.0% | Renewal Possible |
| 43 (42) | Van Helsing (F) | Syfy | 0.09 | 0.17 | -45.7% | Renewed |
| 44 (43) | Happy (O) | Syfy | 0.09 | 0.17 | -45.9% | Cancelled |
| 45 (44) | Stan Against Evil | IFC | 0.04 | 0.08 | -46.9% | Cancelled |
| 46 (n/a) | The Outpost | CW | 0.10 | 0.20 | -50.0% | Renewal Possible |
| 47 (45) | American Gods (O) | Starz | 0.10 | 0.20 | -50.6% | Renewed |
| 48 (46) | Legion (O) | FX | 0.13 | 0.30 | -56.7% | Final Season |
| 49 (47) | Channel Zero (O) | Syfy | 0.07 | 0.17 | -57.8% | Cancelled |
| 50 (48) | Midnight Texas (O) (F) | NBC | 0.41 | 1.04 | -60.4% | Cancelled |
| 51 (49) | Into the Badlands (O) | AMC | 0.19 | 0.50 | -61.8% | Cancelled |
| 52 (50) | Mars | NGC | 0.06 | 0.16 | -65.6% | On the Bubble |
| 53 (51) | Counterpart | Starz | 0.05 | 0.20 | -75.5% | Cancelled |
| 54 (52) | The Rook (O) | Starz | 0.04 | 0.20 | -78.3% | On the Bubble |
Metric Definitions:
Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below). The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank. Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.
Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.
StD Avg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.
Net Bench: (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts. For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample. But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.
% Var: The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above. The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.
Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)
Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers:
Could the fact that the whole season of NOS4A2 was released for streaming at once on AMC Premiere explain/mitigate the slip in the rankings?