Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Siren Continues to Slip in the Rankings

By | February 20, 2019

The numbers for Freeform’s Siren have been down the last couple of weeks and that show has seen its ranking slip in the Scorecard.  It dropped three places this week from Number 13 to Number 16.  It is still in the upper half of the Scorecard, but needs to level out if it wants to stay afloat for a third season. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week in our latest Weekly Roundup post.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through February 10th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.99 0.50 297.6% Renewed
2 (3) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.96 0.50 91.8% Renewed
3 (2) The Flash (O) CW 0.67 0.35 91.4% Renewed
4 (4) The Purge (O) USA 0.41 0.30 36.0% Renewed
5 (5) Supernatural (O) CW 0.42 0.35 21.0% Renewed
6 (7) Riverdale (O) CW 0.42 0.35 19.2% Renewed
7 (6) Arrow (O) CW 0.42 0.35 18.8% Renewed
8 (9) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.20 0.17 14.7% Renewed
9 (8) Supergirl (O) CW 0.39 0.35 12.0% Renewed
10 (10) Manifest (O) NBC 1.27 1.17 8.7% Renewal Possible
11 (11) Deadly Class (O) Syfy 0.17 0.17 -2.4% Renewal Possible
12 (12) Roswell New Mexico (O) CW 0.34 0.35 -2.8% Renewal Possible
13 (14) The Passage (O) FOX 1.00 1.05 -4.9% Renewal Possible
14 (15) God Friended Me (O) CBS 0.93 0.98 -5.3% Renewed
15 (16) Legacies (O) CW 0.33 0.35 -5.6% Renewed
16 (13) Siren (O) Freeform 0.19 0.20 -6.2% Renewal Possible
17 (17) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.32 0.35 -7.6% Renewed
18 (18) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.31 0.35 -10.6% Renewed
19 (20) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.33 0.38 -12.7% Renewed
20 (19) Charmed (O) CW 0.30 0.35 -14.2% Renewed
21 (21) Outlander (O) Starz 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
22 (22) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.08 0.10 -20.0% Renewed
23 (24) Z Nation (F) Syfy 0.13 0.17 -23.5% Cancelled
24 (23) The Orville (O) FOX 0.80 1.05 -23.9% Renewal Possible
25 (25) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.72 0.98 -26.6% Renewal Possible
26 (26) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.83 1.17 -29.2% Renewed
27 (27) Gotham (O) FOX 0.67 1.05 -36.6% Final Season
28 (28) Nightflyers Syfy 0.11 0.17 -36.9% Cancelled
29 (29) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.63 1.05 -40.2% Cancellation Likely
30 (30) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.7% Renewed
31 (31) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.04 0.08 -46.9% Cancelled
32 (32) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -57.8% Cancelled
33 (33) Midnight Texas (O) (F) NBC 0.41 1.17 -64.7% Cancelled
34 (34) Mars NGC 0.06 0.16 -65.6% Renewal Possible
35 (35) Counterpart Starz 0.05 0.20 -75.5% Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

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