Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Blood and Treasure, Fear the Walking Dead, and More Slip in the Rankings

CBS’ Blood and Treasure slipped four slots in the latest rankings (going from Number 14 to Number 18) as the ratings for that one have been on the downside the last couple of weeks. Also slipping was AMC’s Fear the Walking Dead (dropping one slot to Number 9) and NOS4A2 (dropping one slot to Number 33) as both of those shows experienced a ratings slump this past weekend. Freeform’s Siren dropped two slots (from Number 22 to Number 24), but it has already been renewed for a third season. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week in our latest Weekly Roundup post.

The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through June 23rd:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) Game of Thrones (O) HBO 5.17 0.50 933.7% Final Season
2 (2) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.88 0.50 276.1% Renewed
3 (3) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.96 0.30 219.7% Renewed
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.62 0.31 102.6% Renewed
5 (5) The Purge (O) USA 0.41 0.30 36.0% Renewed
6 (6) Supernatural (O) CW 0.40 0.31 30.9% Renewed
7 (7) Manifest (O) NBC 1.25 1.04 20.3% Renewed
8 (9) Supergirl (O) CW 0.35 0.31 16.0% Renewed
9 (8) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.58 0.50 15.8% Renewed
10 (10) Riverdale (O) CW 0.35 0.31 14.5% Renewed
11 (11) Arrow (O) CW 0.34 0.31 11.6% Renewed
12 (12) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.19 0.17 10.9% Renewed
13 (13) The InBetween (O) NBC 0.50 0.50 0.0% Renewal Possible
14 (15) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -1.8% Renewed
15 (16) Legacies (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -1.8% Renewed
16 (17) The Passage (O) FOX 0.92 0.94 -2.6% Cancelled
17 (18) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.29 0.31 -3.9% Renewed
18 (14) Blood and Treasure (O) CBS 0.48 0.50 -4.0% Renewal Possible
19 (19) God Friended Me (O) CBS 0.89 0.93 -5.3% Renewed
20 (20) Roswell New Mexico (O) CW 0.27 0.31 -11.9% Renewed
21 (21) Deadly Class (O) Syfy 0.15 0.17 -12.9% Cancelled
22 (23) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.31 0.36 -13.6% Renewed
23 (24) Outlander (O) Starz 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
24 (22) Siren (O) Freeform 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
25 (25) Charmed (O) CW 0.26 0.31 -15.2% Renewed
26 (26) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.42 0.50 -16.7% Renewed
27 (27) The 100 (O) CW 0.24 0.31 -20.5% Renewed
28 (28) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.83 1.04 -20.6% Final Season
29 (29) The Orville (O) FOX 0.74 0.94 -21.8% Renewed
30 (30) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.08 0.10 -22.0% Renewed
31 (31) Z Nation (F) Syfy 0.13 0.17 -23.5% Cancelled
32 (33) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.70 0.93 -25.6% Renewed
33 (32) NOS4A2 (O) AMC 0.25 0.35 -30.0% Upcoming
34 (34) Gotham (O) FOX 0.63 0.94 -33.6% Final Season
35 (35) iZombie (O) CW 0.20 0.31 -34.5% Final Season
36 (36) Krypton Syfy 0.11 0.17 -35.3% On the Bubble
37 (37) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.61 0.94 -35.6% Cancelled
38 (38) Nightflyers Syfy 0.11 0.17 -36.9% Cancelled
39 (39) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.12 0.20 -40.0% On the Bubble
40 (40) What We Do in the Shadows (O) FX 0.18 0.30 -40.0% Renewed
41 (41) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.7% Renewed
42 (42) Happy (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.9% Cancelled
43 (43) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.04 0.08 -46.9% Cancelled
44 (44) American Gods (O) Starz 0.10 0.20 -50.6% Renewed
45 (45) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -57.8% Cancelled
46 (46) Midnight Texas (O) (F) NBC 0.41 1.04 -60.4% Cancelled
47 (47) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.19 0.50 -61.8% Cancelled
48 (48) Mars NGC 0.06 0.16 -65.6% On the Bubble
49 (49) Counterpart Starz 0.05 0.20 -75.5% Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

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