Scorecard: Nancy Drew Slips in the Rankings, Resident Alien Improves

Supernatural drama Nancy Drew is currently the lowest-rated non-acquisition series airing on The CW, and that show slipped one slot in the rankings this week to Number 15. But that network also pays close attention to the digital viewing where the show has had more success and it was one of many included in last week’s blanket renewal announcement. Syfy’s Resident Alien moved up one slot to Number 2 as its ratings improved in its second week. That one currently counts as the best-performing show on the network over the last two years. The rest of the movement in the Scorecard was mostly incidental and you can see the full ratings results from the week at this link.

The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through February 7th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) Supernatural (O) CW 0.30 0.15 94.9% Final Season
2 (3) Resident Alien (O) Syfy 0.19 0.15 26.7% Upcoming
3 (2) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.35 0.30 18.1% Renewed
4 (4) Legacies (O) CW 0.17 0.15 10.4% Renewed
5 (5) Batwoman (O) CW 0.16 0.15 1.8% Renewed
6 (6) Snowpiercer TNT 0.30 0.30 -1.7% Renewed
7 (7) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.53 0.58 -7.7% Renewal Possible
8 (8) Riverdale (O) CW 0.14 0.15 -11.2% Renewed
9 (9) The Walking Dead World Beyond (O) AMC 0.25 0.30 -16.7% Renewed
10 (11) Swamp Thing (O) CW 0.12 0.15 -22.1% Cancelled
11 (10) Primal ADSW 0.19 0.25 -24.0% Renewed
12 (13) Charmed (O) CW 0.10 0.15 -35.0% Renewed
13 (12) Two Sentence Horror Stories CW 0.09 0.15 -39.9% Renewed
14 (15) The Outpost CW 0.08 0.15 -46.5% Renewal Possible
15 (14) Nancy Drew (O) CW 0.08 0.15 -48.0% Renewed
16 (16) Trickster CW 0.08 0.15 -51.3% Cancelled
17 (17) Pandora CW 0.07 0.15 -54.5% Renewal Possible
18 (18) Star Trek Discovery (O) CBS 0.21 0.58 -63.4% Renewed
19 (19) NeXt FOX 0.25 0.68 -63.9% Cancelled
20 (20) American Gods (O) Starz 0.04 0.15 -73.3% On the Bubble
21 (21) His Dark Materials HBO 0.05 0.30 -82.4% Renewed
22 (22) The Watch BBCA 0.04 0.25 -85.3% Renewal Possible
23 (23) Moonbase 8 Show 0.01 0.20 -95.6% On the Bubble

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily

Author: johnnyjay

4 thoughts on “Scorecard: Nancy Drew Slips in the Rankings, Resident Alien Improves

    1. Because the fact that these CW shows still has an audience has got to involve some kind of advanced mind control technology. 🙂

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