Scorecard: Snowpiercer and Stargirl Remain in the Top 10

TNT’s dystopian series Snowpiercer continues to perform well for its network while superhero series Stargirl has been pulling good ratings for its encore run on The CW. Both shows held steady in rankings this week in the Top 10 with the former at the Number 4 slot and the latter at Number 6. Both are in their first seasons and appear to be on track for a second season renewal. Entering the rankings this week is ABC’s Agents of SHIELD which starts out at the Number 21 slot. That one is in its final season. The rest of the movement among shows was mostly incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week and the status of all the currently airing shows in our latest Weekly Roundup post.

The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through May 31st:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.13 0.30 277.6% Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.61 0.25 144.4% Renewed
3 (3) The Flash (O) CW 0.44 0.26 67.9% Renewed
4 (4) Snowpiercer TNT 0.37 0.30 23.3% Renewal Possible
5 (5) Primal ADSW 0.29 0.25 16.4% Renewal Possible
6 (6) Stargirl (O) (F) CW 0.30 0.26 13.9% Renewal Possible
7 (7) Arrow (O) CW 0.29 0.26 10.1% Final Season
8 (8) Supernatural (O) CW 0.28 0.26 8.1% Final Season
9 (9) Batwoman (O) CW 0.27 0.26 0.6% Renewed
10 (10) Legacies (O) CW 0.24 0.26 -7.4% Renewed
11 (11) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.67 0.74 -9.1% Renewed
12 (12) Supergirl (O) CW 0.23 0.26 -12.1% Renewed
13 (13) Riverdale (O) CW 0.22 0.26 -16.1% Renewed
14 (14) Watchmen (O) HBO 0.25 0.30 -17.0% Renewal Possible
15 (15) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.21 0.26 -19.3% Renewed
16 (16) Outlander (O) Starz 0.12 0.15 -20.0% Renewed
17 (17) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.12 0.15 -21.1% Cancelled
18 (18) Manifest (O) NBC 0.69 0.90 -23.1% Renewal Likely
19 (19) Westworld (O) HBO 0.23 0.30 -23.3% Renewed
20 (21) The 100 (O) (F) CW 0.20 0.26 -24.1% Final Season
21 (n/a) Agents of SHIELD (O) ABC 0.30 0.40 -25.0% Final Season
22 (20) What We Do in the Shadows FX 0.19 0.25 -25.1% Renewed
23 (22) Evil (O) CBS 0.52 0.74 -29.0% Renewed
24 (23) Charmed (O) (F) CW 0.18 0.26 -30.1% Renewed
25 (24) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.21 0.31 -32.3% Cancelled
26 (25) Emergence (O) ABC 0.48 0.72 -32.4% Cancelled
27 (26) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.61 0.90 -32.5% Final Season
28 (27) Siren (O) Freeform 0.11 0.18 -38.3% On the Bubble
29 (28) Motherland Fort Salem (O) Freeform 0.10 0.18 -44.4% Renewed
30 (29) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.08 0.15 -45.1% Renewed
31 (30) Nancy Drew (O) CW 0.14 0.26 -47.3% Renewed
32 (31) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.12 0.25 -53.8% Final Season
33 (32) Roswell New Mexico (O) (F) CW 0.12 0.26 -54.4% Renewed
34 (33) Avenue 5 HBO 0.11 0.30 -63.3% Renewed
35 (34) Vagrant Queen (F) Syfy 0.05 0.15 -67.4% Cancellation Likely
36 (35) His Dark Materials HBO 0.10 0.30 -67.5% Renewed
37 (36) Dispatches from Elsewhere (O) AMC 0.08 0.30 -73.3% Cancellation Likely
38 (37) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.02 0.10 -76.5% Final Season
39 (38) Penny Dreadful City of Angels Showtime 0.04 0.20 -81.0% On the Bubble

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.