Scorecard: Stargirl Enters in the Top Ten

Stargirl, based on the DC superhero of the same name, debuted last week and starts off in the rankings at the Number 6 slot. Normally I would not include a show running on one of the streaming services in the rankings because there are no ratings numbers by which to gauge it. But that show is airing an encore run of each week’s episode on The CW the day after it premieres on DC Universe. The show debuted with a 0.3 rating based on same-day viewing last week which is good for a CW entry these days. And those numbers are important because DCU could get shut down soon or go through a massive change, and The CW may have an interest in bringing the show back for a second season. Dropping this week is FX’s What We Do in the Shadows which has seen its numbers slip lately. But not to worry, that show was just renewed for a third season.  The rest of the movement among shows was mostly incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week and the status of all the currently airing shows in our latest Weekly Roundup post.

The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through May 24th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.13 0.30 277.6% Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.61 0.25 144.4% Renewed
3 (3) The Flash (O) CW 0.44 0.26 67.9% Renewed
4 (4) Snowpiercer TNT 0.39 0.30 28.3% Upcoming
5 (5) Primal ADSW 0.29 0.25 16.4% Renewal Possible
6 (n/a) Stargirl (O) (F) CW 0.30 0.26 13.9% Renewal Possible
7 (6) Arrow (O) CW 0.29 0.26 10.1% Final Season
8 (7) Supernatural (O) CW 0.28 0.26 8.1% Final Season
9 (8) Batwoman (O) CW 0.27 0.26 0.6% Renewed
10 (9) Legacies (O) CW 0.24 0.26 -7.4% Renewed
11 (10) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.67 0.74 -9.1% Renewed
12 (11) Supergirl (O) CW 0.23 0.26 -12.1% Renewed
13 (12) Riverdale (O) CW 0.22 0.26 -16.1% Renewed
14 (13) Watchmen (O) HBO 0.25 0.30 -17.0% Renewal Possible
15 (14) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.21 0.26 -19.3% Renewed
16 (15) Outlander (O) Starz 0.12 0.15 -20.0% Renewed
17 (17) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.12 0.15 -21.1% Cancelled
18 (18) Manifest (O) NBC 0.69 0.90 -23.1% Renewal Likely
19 (19) Westworld (O) HBO 0.23 0.30 -23.3% Renewed
20 (16) What We Do in the Shadows FX 0.19 0.25 -24.0% Renewed
21 (n/a) The 100 (O) (F) CW 0.20 0.26 -24.1% Final Season
22 (20) Evil (O) CBS 0.52 0.74 -29.0% Renewed
23 (21) Charmed (O) (F) CW 0.18 0.26 -30.1% Renewed
24 (22) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.21 0.31 -32.3% Cancelled
25 (23) Emergence (O) ABC 0.48 0.72 -32.4% Cancelled
26 (24) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.61 0.90 -32.5% Final Season
27 (25) Siren (O) Freeform 0.11 0.18 -38.2% On the Bubble
28 (26) Motherland Fort Salem (O) Freeform 0.10 0.18 -44.4% Renewed
29 (27) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.08 0.15 -45.1% Renewed
30 (28) Nancy Drew (O) CW 0.14 0.26 -47.3% Renewed
31 (29) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.12 0.25 -53.8% Final Season
32 (30) Roswell New Mexico (O) (F) CW 0.12 0.26 -54.4% Renewed
33 (31) Avenue 5 HBO 0.11 0.30 -63.3% Renewed
34 (32) Vagrant Queen (F) Syfy 0.05 0.15 -66.7% Cancellation Likely
35 (33) His Dark Materials HBO 0.10 0.30 -67.5% Renewed
36 (34) Dispatches from Elsewhere (O) AMC 0.08 0.30 -73.3% Cancellation Likely
37 (35) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.02 0.10 -76.5% Final Season
38 (36) Penny Dreadful City of Angels Showtime 0.04 0.20 -80.0% On the Bubble

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

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