Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Salvation Enters in the Lower Half of the Rankings

The CBS sophomore series Salvation returned to low ratings last week and that finds it entering the Scorecard at the Number 38 slot, well down in the rankings. That show starts off firmly On the Bubble, though its streaming deal with Amazon could keep it running for another season. Freeform’s Cloak and Dagger slipped four slots this week (from number 12 to Number 16) as that one experienced a dip in its ratings. Also dropping were AMC’s Preacher (from 50 to 54) and NBC’s Reverie (from Number 38 to Number 40) as the numbers have been down for both of those shows. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can see the full rankings below. For the ratings coverage from this past week, be sure to check out our latest Weekly Roundup post.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through July 1st (metric definitions below):

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 3.39 0.50 578.0% 5.22 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.10 0.50 120.7% 2.47 Renewed
3 (3) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.94 0.50 88.5% n/a Renewal Possible
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.71 0.38 86.4% 1.61 Renewed
5 (5) Outlander Starz 0.32 0.20 59.6% 0.60 Renewed
6 (6) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.26 0.17 54.3% 0.57 Renewed
7 (7) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.56 0.38 46.5% 0.97 Renewed
8 (8) Supernatural (O) CW 0.53 0.38 37.9% 0.99 Renewed
9 (9) Krypton Syfy 0.23 0.17 36.5% 0.77 Renewed
10 (10) Supergirl (O) CW 0.49 0.38 28.6% 1.01 Renewed
11 (11) Happy (O) Syfy 0.21 0.17 24.3% 0.55 Renewed
12 (13) Riverdale (O) CW 0.43 0.38 12.4% 1.01 Renewed
13 (14) Siren Freeform 0.22 0.20 10.6% 0.55 Renewed
14 (15) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.41 0.38 7.3% 0.94 Renewed
15 (16) The Expanse Syfy 0.18 0.17 3.9% n/a Renewed
16 (12) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.21 0.20 3.7% n/a Renewal Possible
17 (17) The Orville (O) FOX 1.00 0.97 3.6% 2.15 Renewed
18 (18) Westworld HBO 0.61 0.60 1.7% n/a Renewed
19 (19) Z Nation Syfy 0.17 0.17 0.5% 0.37 Renewed
20 (20) Arrow (O) CW 0.38 0.38 -1.2% 0.93 Renewed
21 (21) The X-Files (O) FOX 0.95 0.97 -1.6% n/a Final Season
22 (22) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.04 1.09 -4.7% 1.95 Renewed
23 (23) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.85 0.97 -12.0% 2.08 Renewed
24 (25) The Originals (O) CW 0.33 0.38 -15.2% n/a Final Season
25 (24) The 100 (O) CW 0.31 0.38 -18.5% n/a Renewed
26 (26) Lucifer FOX 0.76 0.97 -20.8% 1.37 Renewed
27 (27) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.76 0.97 -21.3% n/a Cancelled
28 (28) Shadowhunters (O) Freeform 0.16 0.20 -21.7% 0.40 Final Season
29 (29) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.06 0.08 -21.9% n/a Renewed
30 (30) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.83 1.07 -22.0% n/a Renewed
31 (31) Final Space (O) TBS 0.23 0.30 -22.7% n/a Renewed
32 (32) Ghosted (O) FOX 0.73 0.97 -24.9% n/a Cancelled
33 (33) Van Helsing Syfy 0.13 0.17 -25.8% 0.30 Renewed
34 (34) The Librarians TNT 0.29 0.40 -27.5% 0.60 Cancelled
35 (35) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.22 0.30 -28.0% 0.44 Renewed
36 (36) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.36 0.50 -28.5% n/a On the Bubble
37 (37) Gotham FOX 0.68 0.97 -29.4% 1.41 Renewed
38 (n/a) Salvation (O) CBS 0.40 0.60 -33.3% n/a On the Bubble
39 (39) iZombie (O) CW 0.24 0.38 -37.8% 0.50 Final Season
40 (38) Reverie (O) NBC 0.48 0.80 -40.0% n/a Cancellation Likely
41 (40) Colony (O) USA 0.17 0.30 -42.2% n/a On the Bubble
42 (41) Timeless (O) NBC 0.60 1.09 -45.0% 1.23 Cancelled
43 (42) The Crossing (O) ABC 0.61 1.13 -46.2% 1.60 Cancelled
44 (43) The Inhumans (O) (F) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 1.13 Cancelled
44 (44) Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 0.97 Cancelled
46 (45) Superstition Syfy 0.09 0.17 -48.5% n/a Cancellation Likely
47 (46) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.0% n/a Renewed
48 (47) Ghost Wars Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.8% n/a Cancelled
49 (48) Counterpart Starz 0.09 0.20 -53.0% n/a Renewed
50 (49) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.52 1.13 -53.5% 1.23 Renewed
51 (51) The Shannara Chronicles (O) Spike 0.09 0.20 -54.3% 0.30 Cancelled
52 (52) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.42 0.97 -56.5% 0.60 Cancelled
53 (53) Beyond Freeform 0.09 0.20 -56.7% n/a Cancelled
54 (50) Preacher (O) AMC 0.21 0.50 -58.0% n/a On the Bubble
55 (54) Once Upon A Time (O) (F) ABC 0.46 1.13 -59.3% 1.02 Cancelled
56 (55) Legion (O) FX 0.19 0.50 -62.0% 0.70 Renewed
57 (56) Ash vs Evil Dead Starz 0.08 0.20 -62.5% n/a Cancelled
58 (57) 12 Monkeys (O) Syfy 0.06 0.17 -66.7% n/a Final Season
59 (58) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.07 0.30 -76.7% n/a Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: johnnyjay

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