Coming as no surprise, NBC’s new Summer series Reverie enters the Scorecard in the lower half of the ranks after that show debuted poorly last week. It is starting off as a Bubble show because of its low ratings and the fact that NBC appears to be just burning off its first season. If it slips much further, consider it a likely candidate for cancellation. Slipping this week is AMC’s Into the Badlands (from Number 26 to Number 32) which posted a series low number this past Sunday. That show’s numbers have been down all season and I have moved it to Bubble status. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can see the full rankings below.
The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below). Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.
Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through June 3rd (metric definitions below):
| Rank (PW) | Series | Net | Std Avg | Net Bench | % Var | Live+7 Avg Rtg | Status |
| 1 (1) | The Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 3.39 | 0.50 | 578.0% | 5.22 | Renewed |
| 2 (2) | American Horror Story (O) | FX | 1.10 | 0.50 | 120.7% | 2.47 | Renewed |
| 3 (3) | Fear the Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 0.97 | 0.50 | 94.6% | n/a | Renewal Likely |
| 4 (4) | The Flash (O) | CW | 0.71 | 0.38 | 86.4% | 1.61 | Renewed |
| 5 (5) | Ghosted (O) | FOX | 1.60 | 0.97 | 65.7% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 6 (6) | Outlander | Starz | 0.32 | 0.20 | 59.6% | 0.60 | Renewed |
| 7 (7) | The Magicians (O) | Syfy | 0.26 | 0.17 | 54.3% | 0.57 | Renewed |
| 8 (8) | Black Lightning (O) | CW | 0.56 | 0.38 | 46.5% | 0.97 | Renewed |
| 9 (9) | Supernatural (O) | CW | 0.53 | 0.38 | 37.9% | 0.99 | Renewed |
| 10 (10) | Krypton | Syfy | 0.23 | 0.17 | 36.5% | 0.77 | Renewed |
| 11 (11) | Supergirl (O) | CW | 0.50 | 0.38 | 30.5% | 1.01 | Renewed |
| 12 (12) | Happy (O) | Syfy | 0.21 | 0.17 | 24.3% | 0.55 | Renewed |
| 13 (13) | Riverdale (O) | CW | 0.43 | 0.38 | 12.4% | 1.01 | Renewed |
| 14 (14) | Siren | Freeform | 0.22 | 0.20 | 10.6% | 0.55 | Renewed |
| 15 (15) | Legends of Tomorrow (O) | CW | 0.41 | 0.38 | 7.3% | 0.94 | Renewed |
| 16 (17) | The Expanse | Syfy | 0.18 | 0.17 | 5.9% | n/a | Renewed |
| 17 (18) | The Orville (O) | FOX | 1.00 | 0.97 | 3.6% | 2.15 | Renewed |
| 18 (16) | Westworld | HBO | 0.62 | 0.60 | 3.3% | n/a | Renewed |
| 19 (19) | Z Nation | Syfy | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.5% | 0.37 | Renewed |
| 20 (20) | Arrow (O) | CW | 0.38 | 0.38 | -1.2% | 0.93 | Renewed |
| 21 (21) | The X-Files (O) | FOX | 0.95 | 0.97 | -1.6% | n/a | Final Season |
| 22 (22) | The Good Place (O) | NBC | 1.04 | 1.09 | -4.7% | 1.95 | Renewed |
| 23 (23) | The Originals (O) | CW | 0.36 | 0.38 | -6.1% | n/a | Final Season |
| 24 (24) | The 100 (O) | CW | 0.34 | 0.38 | -11.3% | n/a | Renewed |
| 25 (25) | The Gifted (O) | FOX | 0.85 | 0.97 | -12.0% | 2.08 | Renewed |
| 26 (27) | Lucifer | FOX | 0.76 | 0.97 | -20.8% | 1.37 | Cancelled |
| 27 (28) | The Last Man on Earth (O) | FOX | 0.76 | 0.97 | -21.3% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 28 (29) | Shadowhunters (O) | Freeform | 0.16 | 0.20 | -21.7% | 0.40 | Final Season |
| 29 (30) | Stan Against Evil | IFC | 0.06 | 0.08 | -21.9% | n/a | Renewed |
| 30 (31) | MacGyver (O) (F) | CBS | 0.83 | 1.07 | -22.0% | n/a | Renewed |
| 31 (32) | Final Space (O) | TBS | 0.23 | 0.30 | -22.7% | n/a | Renewed |
| 32 (26) | Into the Badlands (O) | AMC | 0.38 | 0.50 | -25.0% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 33 (n/a) | Reverie (O) | NBC | 0.60 | 0.80 | -25.0% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 34 (33) | Van Helsing | Syfy | 0.13 | 0.17 | -25.8% | 0.30 | Renewed |
| 35 (34) | The Librarians | TNT | 0.29 | 0.40 | -27.5% | 0.60 | Cancelled |
| 36 (35) | Mr Robot (O) | USA | 0.22 | 0.30 | -28.0% | 0.44 | Renewed |
| 37 (36) | Gotham | FOX | 0.68 | 0.97 | -29.4% | 1.41 | Renewed |
| 38 (37) | iZombie (O) | CW | 0.24 | 0.38 | -37.8% | 0.50 | Final Season |
| 39 (38) | The Crossing (O) | ABC | 0.63 | 1.13 | -44.5% | 1.60 | Cancelled |
| 40 (39) | Timeless (O) | NBC | 0.60 | 1.09 | -45.0% | 1.23 | On the Bubble |
| 41 (44) | Colony (O) | USA | 0.16 | 0.30 | -46.0% | n/a | On the Bubble |
| 42 (40) | The Inhumans (O) (F) | ABC | 0.59 | 1.13 | -48.0% | 1.13 | Cancelled |
| 42 (41) | Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) | ABC | 0.59 | 1.13 | -48.0% | 0.97 | Cancelled |
| 44 (42) | Superstition | Syfy | 0.09 | 0.17 | -48.5% | n/a | Cancellation Likely |
| 45 (43) | Channel Zero (O) | Syfy | 0.09 | 0.17 | -49.0% | n/a | Renewed |
| 46 (45) | Ghost Wars | Syfy | 0.09 | 0.17 | -49.8% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 47 (46) | Counterpart | Starz | 0.09 | 0.20 | -53.0% | n/a | Renewed |
| 48 (47) | Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) | ABC | 0.52 | 1.13 | -53.5% | 1.23 | Renewed |
| 49 (48) | The Shannara Chronicles (O) | Spike | 0.09 | 0.20 | -54.3% | 0.30 | Cancelled |
| 50 (49) | The Exorcist (O) (F) | FOX | 0.42 | 0.97 | -56.5% | 0.60 | Cancelled |
| 51 (50) | Beyond | Freeform | 0.09 | 0.20 | -56.7% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 52 (51) | Once Upon A Time (O) (F) | ABC | 0.46 | 1.13 | -59.3% | 1.02 | Cancelled |
| 53 (52) | Legion (O) | FX | 0.20 | 0.50 | -60.9% | 0.70 | Renewed |
| 54 (53) | Ash vs Evil Dead | Starz | 0.08 | 0.20 | -62.5% | n/a | Cancelled |
| 55 (54) | Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency | BBCA | 0.07 | 0.30 | -76.7% | n/a | Cancelled |
Metric Definitions:
Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below). The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank. Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.
Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.
StD Avg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.
Net Bench: (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts. For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample. But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.
% Var: The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above. The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.
Live+7 Avg Rtg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast. This data is not available for all shows.
Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)
Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers
