Scorecard




The Scorecard ranks the ratings performance based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for all of the broadcast network and cable sci fi & fantasy shows vs. their network’s ratings benchmark.  The benchmark for broadcast network shows is the season-to-date average for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts (for FOX, Empire is also excluded because it counts as an outlier).  Since these nets continue to watch the overnight ratings closely (despite what they say), this still acts as a good gauge for how well a show is performing.

For the cable channels, the benchmark is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival (as we saw with BBC America’s Dirk Gently) and that is not measured here.  So there is a larger margin for error, but the Scorecard at least provides some relative data on where shows stand compared to similar programming on those channels.

Original entries from the streaming services such as Netflix, Amazon, and Hulu are not included here because they do not provide performance data for their shows.

Below is the Scorecard based on the ratings through February 12th (metric definitions below). You can read the analysis at this link.  And you can see the renewal / cancellation status of all the currently airing and streaming shows at the Cancellation Watch Page.

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead AMC 5.71 0.60 851.7% 8.43 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story FX 1.58 0.60 162.5% 3.16 Renewed
3 (4) The Flash (O) CW 1.13 0.53 110.9% 2.03 Renewed
4 (3) The Magicians Syfy 0.41 0.20 106.7% n/a Renewal Likely
5 (5) Supergirl (O) CW 0.82 0.53 53.4% 1.45 Renewed
6 (6) Star Wars Rebels DXD 0.15 0.10 50.0% 0.33 Renewal Likely
7 (8) Westworld HBO 0.80 0.60 33.8% 1.50 Renewed
8 (7) Arrow (O) CW 0.71 0.53 32.8% 1.31 Renewed
9 (9) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.69 0.53 29.5% 1.20 Renewed
10 (12) Z Nation Syfy 0.25 0.20 24.3% 0.42 Renewed
11 (10) Son of Zorn (O) FOX 1.33 1.10 20.1% n/a Renewal Possible
12 (13) Supernatural (O) CW 0.64 0.53 19.3% 1.18 Renewed
13 (14) Shadowhunters Free 0.30 0.25 18.0% n/a Renewal Likely
14 (n/a) Legion (O) FX 0.69 0.60 15.0% n/a Renewal Likely
15 (11) The Expanse Syfy 0.22 0.20 7.5% n/a Renewal Possible
16 (15) Gotham FOX 1.14 1.10 2.9% 1.90 Renewal Likely
17 (16) Lucifer FOX 1.08 1.10 -1.7% 1.84 Renewal Possible
18 (17) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.08 0.08 -4.7% n/a Renewed
19 (18) The Librarians TNT 0.47 0.50 -5.2% 0.88 Renewed
20 (19) Channel Zero Syfy 0.19 0.20 -5.8% 0.38 Renewed
21 (20) Colony USA 0.28 0.30 -6.7% 0.70 Renewal Possible
22 (21) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.98 1.10 -11.4% 1.53 Renewal Possible
23 (22) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.25 1.48 -15.7% 1.91 Renewed
24 (23) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 1.13 1.37 -17.2% 1.78 Renewal Possible
25 (25) People of Earth TBS 0.33 0.40 -18.1% n/a Renewed
26 (24) Once Upon A Time (O) ABC 1.05 1.29 -18.7% 1.67 Renewal Possible
27 (26) Incorporated Syfy 0.16 0.20 -20.0% 0.34 Renewal Possible
28 (28) Aftermath Syfy 0.16 0.20 -20.8% 0.33 Cancelled
29 (29) Van Helsing Syfy 0.16 0.20 -21.3% 0.30 Renewed
30 (30) Ash vs Evil Dead STARZ 0.16 0.20 -21.5% 0.34 Renewed
31 (27) Timeless NBC 1.16 1.48 -22.0% 2.25 Cancellation Likely
32 (31) The 100 (O) CW 0.40 0.53 -25.0% n/a On the Bubble
33 (32) Teen Wolf MTV 0.22 0.30 -25.7% 0.46 Final Season
34 (35) The Strain FX 0.42 0.60 -30.8% 0.85 Renewed
35 (36) Vampire Diaries (O) (F) CW 0.36 0.53 -32.8% 0.73 Final Season
36 (34) Beyond Free 0.16 0.25 -34.7% n/a Renewed
37 (33) Powerless (O) NBC 0.95 1.48 -35.9% n/a Renewal Possible
38 (38) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.67 1.10 -39.3% 1.09 Cancellation Likely
39 (37) Agents of SHIELD (O) ABC 0.77 1.29 -40.4% 1.70 Cancellation Likely
40 (39) Scream Queens (O) FOX 0.61 1.10 -44.7% 0.96 Cancellation Likely
41 (40) Grimm (O) (F) NBC 0.80 1.48 -46.1% 1.43 Final Season
42 (42) Salem WGN 0.08 0.15 -48.0% n/a Cancelled
43 (41) Frequency (O) CW 0.28 0.53 -48.1% 0.51 Cancellation Likely
44 (44) Falling Water USA 0.15 0.30 -51.0% 0.30 On the Bubble
45 (43) Emerald City (O) (F) NBC 0.72 1.48 -51.7% 1.43 Cancellation Likely
46 (45) Sleepy Hollow (O) (F) NBC 0.57 1.48 -61.8% 1.00 On the Bubble
47 (46) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.09 0.40 -77.5% n/a Renewed

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned/produced by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower. These typically just apply to the broadcast networks where they are more of a factor.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts (for FOX, Empire is also excluded because it counts as an outlier).  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers