NBC’s Manifest saw its ratings take a drop last week which resulted in its slipping in the current set of rankings. But not by much as it only dropped one slot to Number 8. Currently, that show appears to be on course for a fourth season renewal. HBO’s The Nevers had its debut on Sunday, but its linear ratings were not that strong. That one starts off in the Scorecard in the lower third at the Number 24 slot. Its digital viewing numbers on HBO Max for its premiere were good, though, so it does not appear to be in trouble at the moment. Fear the Walking Dead returned for the secon half of its sixth season with its numbers down, but it remained steady at the Number 6 slot. The rest of the movement in the Scorecard was mostly incidental and you can see the full ratings results from the week at this link.
The Scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below). Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.
Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through April 11th:
| Rank (PW) | Series | Net | Std Avg | Net Bench | % Var | Status |
| 1 (1) | The Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 0.67 | 0.30 | 124.8% | Renewed |
| 2 (2) | Supernatural (O) | CW | 0.30 | 0.15 | 100.1% | Final Season |
| 3 (3) | Superman & Lois (O) | CW | 0.28 | 0.15 | 88.1% | Renewal Possible |
| 4 (4) | The Flash (O) | CW | 0.25 | 0.15 | 67.8% | Renewed |
| 5 (5) | Resident Alien (O) | Syfy | 0.19 | 0.15 | 28.7% | Renewal Possible |
| 6 (6) | Fear the Walking Dead (O) | AMC | 0.34 | 0.30 | 14.2% | Renewed |
| 7 (8) | Supergirl (O) | CW | 0.15 | 0.15 | -3.3% | Final Season |
| 8 (7) | Manifest (O) | NBC | 0.57 | 0.58 | -3.3% | Renewal Possible |
| 9 (9) | Riverdale (O) | CW | 0.14 | 0.15 | -7.3% | Renewed |
| 10 (10) | Legacies (O) | CW | 0.14 | 0.15 | -8.1% | Renewed |
| 11 (11) | MacGyver (O) (F) | CBS | 0.51 | 0.57 | -10.8% | Renewal Possible |
| 12 (12) | Black Lightning (O) | CW | 0.13 | 0.15 | -13.3% | Final Season |
| 13 (13) | The Walking Dead World Beyond (O) | AMC | 0.25 | 0.30 | -16.7% | Renewed |
| 14 (15) | Snowpiercer | TNT | 0.25 | 0.30 | -17.4% | Renewed |
| 15 (14) | Batwoman (O) | CW | 0.12 | 0.15 | -18.0% | Renewed |
| 16 (16) | Swamp Thing (O) | CW | 0.12 | 0.15 | -20.0% | Cancelled |
| 17 (17) | Primal | ADSW | 0.19 | 0.25 | -24.0% | Renewed |
| 18 (18) | Debris (O) | NBC | 0.42 | 0.58 | -28.7% | On the Bubble |
| 19 (20) | Nancy Drew (O) | CW | 0.09 | 0.15 | -40.6% | Renewed |
| 20 (19) | Two Sentence Horror Stories | CW | 0.09 | 0.15 | -41.1% | Renewed |
| 21 (22) | The Outpost | CW | 0.08 | 0.15 | -45.1% | Renewal Possible |
| 22 (21) | Charmed (O) | CW | 0.08 | 0.15 | -45.2% | Renewed |
| 23 (23) | Trickster | CW | 0.08 | 0.15 | -50.0% | Cancelled |
| 24 (n/a) | The Nevers (O) | HBO | 0.10 | 0.20 | -50.0% | Renewal Possible |
| 25 (24) | Pandora | CW | 0.07 | 0.15 | -53.3% | On the Bubble |
| 26 (25) | Wynonna Earp | Syfy | 0.06 | 0.15 | -58.9% | Cancelled |
| 27 (26) | NeXt | FOX | 0.25 | 0.65 | -61.8% | Cancelled |
| 28 (27) | Star Trek Discovery (O) | CBS | 0.21 | 0.57 | -63.1% | Renewed |
| 29 (29) | His Dark Materials | HBO | 0.05 | 0.20 | -73.6% | Renewed |
| 30 (28) | American Gods (O) | Starz | 0.04 | 0.15 | -76.7% | Cancelled |
| 31 (30) | The Watch | BBCA | 0.03 | 0.25 | -86.3% | Renewal Possible |
| 32 (31) | Moonbase 8 | Show | 0.01 | 0.20 | -95.6% | On the Bubble |
Metric Definitions:
Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below). The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank. Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.
Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.
StD Avg: The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.
Net Bench: (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts. For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample. But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.
% Var: The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above. The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.
Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)
Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily
