Scorecard: Supergirl and Manifest Enter the Rankings in the Top 10

The CW’s Supergirl returned for its sixth and final season last week, and even though its ratings are down year-over-year, it is still performing well for a show on that network and starts off at the Number 8 slot. Also returning was NBC’s Manifest which kicks off its third season in the Number 7 slot in the rankings. As with most shows, the numbers are down for that one as well, but its season premiere performed better than the network’s benchmark. Slipping four slots for the week to Number 18 was NBC’s Debris which saw its ratings drop into very iffy territory last week as that one remains On the Bubble. Also slipping was Syfy’s Wynonna Earp which fell three slots to Number 25 as it hit a series low rating heading into its fourth season finale this week. The rest of the movement in the Scorecard was mostly incidental and you can see the full ratings results from the week at this link.

The Scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through April 4th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.67 0.30 124.8% Renewed
2 (2) Supernatural (O) CW 0.30 0.15 98.8% Final Season
3 (3) Superman & Lois (O) CW 0.28 0.15 86.9% Renewal Possible
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.25 0.15 65.6% Renewed
5 (5) Resident Alien (O) Syfy 0.19 0.15 28.7% Renewal Possible
6 (6) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.35 0.30 18.1% Renewed
7 (n/a) Manifest (O) NBC 0.65 0.58 11.6% Renewal Possible
8 (n/a) Supergirl (O) CW 0.14 0.15 -7.2% Final Season
9 (7) Riverdale (O) CW 0.14 0.15 -7.9% Renewed
10 (8) Legacies (O) CW 0.14 0.15 -8.1% Renewed
11 (9) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.52 0.57 -10.4% Renewal Possible
12 (10) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.13 0.15 -13.9% Final Season
13 (12) The Walking Dead World Beyond (O) AMC 0.25 0.30 -16.7% Renewed
14 (13) Batwoman (O) CW 0.13 0.15 -16.8% Renewed
15 (11) Snowpiercer TNT 0.25 0.30 -17.4% Renewed
16 (15) Swamp Thing (O) CW 0.12 0.15 -20.5% Cancelled
17 (16) Primal ADSW 0.19 0.25 -24.0% Renewed
18 (14) Debris (O) NBC 0.43 0.58 -26.5% On the Bubble
19 (18) Two Sentence Horror Stories CW 0.09 0.15 -41.5% Renewed
20 (17) Nancy Drew (O) CW 0.09 0.15 -42.4% Renewed
21 (19) Charmed (O) CW 0.08 0.15 -45.3% Renewed
22 (20) The Outpost CW 0.08 0.15 -45.5% Renewal Possible
23 (21) Trickster CW 0.08 0.15 -50.3% Cancelled
24 (23) Pandora CW 0.07 0.15 -53.6% On the Bubble
25 (22) Wynonna Earp Syfy 0.06 0.15 -58.7% Cancelled
26 (24) NeXt FOX 0.25 0.65 -62.0% Cancelled
27 (25) Star Trek Discovery (O) CBS 0.21 0.57 -63.2% Renewed
28 (26) American Gods (O) Starz 0.04 0.15 -76.7% Cancelled
29 (27) His Dark Materials HBO 0.05 0.30 -82.4% Renewed
30 (28) The Watch BBCA 0.03 0.25 -86.3% Renewal Possible
31 (29) Moonbase 8 Show 0.01 0.20 -95.6% On the Bubble

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily

Author: johnnyjay

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