Scorecard: The CW Shows Get Shuffled in the Rankings

The average ratings for The CW were doing well during the first part of Mid-Season with shows like Superman & Lois, Walker, and All-American pulling in decent ratings for the network, but those have slipped over the past few weeks in part due to reruns and preemptions. That has led to a slip in the network’s ratings average of a 0.16 score, dropping one tick to a 0.15.  And that has caused some shuffling among The CW shows. Black LightningRiverdale, and Trickster appear to have improved (even though the latter show has finished its season), while Snowpiercer, MacGyver, and Wynonna Earp appear to have slipped. But this is just a factor of several of The CW shows looking better against the deflated network average. In truth, the standings have remained mostly the same week-to-week as the ranking of these shows has not really changed compared to other shows on the same network which is what the Scorecard really measures. Consider this just a correction of sorts with little in the way of substantial movement this week. The rest of the movement in the Scorecard was mostly incidental and you can see the full ratings results from the week at this link.

The Scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through March 28th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.69 0.30 128.9% Renewed
2 (2) Supernatural (O) CW 0.30 0.15 94.4% Final Season
3 (3) Superman & Lois (O) CW 0.28 0.15 82.8% Renewal Possible
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.26 0.15 68.5% Renewed
5 (5) Resident Alien (O) Syfy 0.20 0.15 32.6% Renewal Possible
6 (6) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.35 0.30 18.1% Renewed
7 (9) Riverdale (O) CW 0.14 0.15 -8.5% Renewed
8 (7) Legacies (O) CW 0.14 0.15 -10.1% Renewed
9 (8) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.52 0.58 -10.8% Renewal Possible
10 (12) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.13 0.15 -15.7% Final Season
11 (10) Snowpiercer TNT 0.25 0.30 -16.7% Renewed
11 (10) The Walking Dead World Beyond (O) AMC 0.25 0.30 -16.7% Renewed
13 (13) Batwoman (O) CW 0.13 0.15 -18.6% Renewed
14 (14) Debris (O) NBC 0.45 0.57 -20.8% On the Bubble
15 (15) Swamp Thing (O) CW 0.12 0.15 -22.2% Cancelled
16 (16) Primal ADSW 0.19 0.25 -24.0% Renewed
17 (17) Nancy Drew (O) CW 0.09 0.15 -40.9% Renewed
18 (18) Two Sentence Horror Stories CW 0.09 0.15 -42.7% Renewed
19 (19) Charmed (O) CW 0.08 0.15 -46.5% Renewed
20 (20) The Outpost CW 0.08 0.15 -46.7% Renewal Possible
21 (22) Trickster CW 0.08 0.15 -51.4% Cancelled
22 (21) Wynonna Earp Syfy 0.07 0.15 -53.3% Cancelled
23 (23) Pandora CW 0.07 0.15 -54.6% On the Bubble
24 (24) NeXt FOX 0.25 0.65 -62.1% Cancelled
25 (25) Star Trek Discovery (O) CBS 0.21 0.58 -63.6% Renewed
26 (26) American Gods (O) Starz 0.04 0.15 -76.7% On the Bubble
27 (27) His Dark Materials HBO 0.05 0.30 -82.4% Renewed
28 (28) The Watch BBCA 0.03 0.25 -86.3% Renewal Possible
29 (29) Moonbase 8 Show 0.01 0.20 -95.6% On the Bubble

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily

Author: johnnyjay

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