Cancellation Watch Scorecard: The 100 Enters in the Top 15

By | May 8, 2019

The CW’s The 100 returned for its sixth season last week and starts off in the Scorecard at the Number 12 slot (tied with Black Lightning), higher that other CW entries such as Charmed and Roswell New Mexico. The 100 has already been renewed for a seventh season. Also returning last week was iZombie which starts out in the Scorecard at Number 30. That show is in its final season. Dropping a bit this week were Freeform’s Cloak and Dagger (to Number 31) and FX’s What We Do in the Shadows (to Number 35) as the numbers for those shows have been down lately. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week in our latest Weekly Roundup post.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through May 5th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) Game of Thrones (O) HBO 4.96 0.50 891.0% Final Season
2 (2) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.88 0.50 276.1% Renewed
3 (3) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.96 0.30 219.7% Renewed
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.63 0.31 102.2% Renewed
5 (5) The Purge (O) USA 0.41 0.30 36.0% Renewed
6 (6) Supernatural (O) CW 0.40 0.31 29.2% Renewed
7 (7) Manifest (O) NBC 1.25 1.06 17.8% Renewed
8 (10) Supergirl (O) CW 0.36 0.31 16.2% Renewed
9 (8) Arrow (O) CW 0.36 0.31 14.6% Renewed
10 (9) Riverdale (O) CW 0.36 0.31 14.6% Renewed
11 (11) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.19 0.17 10.9% Renewed
12 (12) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -3.1% Renewed
12 (n/a) The 100 (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -3.1% Renewed
14 (13) Legacies (O) CW 0.30 0.31 -3.1% Renewed
15 (14) The Passage (O) FOX 0.92 0.97 -5.1% On the Bubble
16 (16) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.29 0.31 -5.6% Renewed
17 (15) God Friended Me (O) CBS 0.89 0.94 -5.9% Renewed
18 (17) Deadly Class (O) Syfy 0.15 0.17 -12.9% Renewal Possible
19 (20) Roswell New Mexico (O) CW 0.27 0.31 -13.1% Renewed
20 (18) Siren (O) Freeform 0.17 0.20 -13.1% Renewal Possible
21 (19) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.31 0.36 -13.6% Renewed
22 (21) Charmed (O) CW 0.27 0.31 -14.4% Renewed
23 (22) Outlander (O) Starz 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
24 (23) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.08 0.10 -22.0% Renewed
25 (24) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.83 1.06 -22.3% Renewed
26 (25) Z Nation (F) Syfy 0.13 0.17 -23.5% Cancelled
27 (26) The Orville (O) FOX 0.74 0.97 -23.8% On the Bubble
28 (27) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.70 0.94 -25.6% Renewal Possible
29 (29) Gotham (O) FOX 0.63 0.97 -35.3% Final Season
30 (n/a) iZombie (O) CW 0.20 0.31 -35.4% Final Season
31 (28) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.13 0.20 -36.0% On the Bubble
32 (30) Nightflyers Syfy 0.11 0.17 -36.9% Cancelled
33 (31) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.61 0.97 -37.2% Cancelled
34 (33) Happy (O) Syfy 0.10 0.17 -42.2% On the Bubble
35 (32) What We Do in the Shadows (O) FX 0.17 0.30 -42.2% Renewed
36 (34) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.7% Renewed
37 (35) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.04 0.08 -46.9% Cancelled
38 (36) American Gods (O) Starz 0.10 0.20 -50.6% Renewed
39 (37) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -57.8% Cancelled
40 (38) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.20 0.50 -60.0% Cancelled
41 (39) Midnight Texas (O) (F) NBC 0.41 1.06 -61.3% Cancelled
42 (40) Mars NGC 0.06 0.16 -65.6% Renewal Possible
43 (41) Counterpart Starz 0.05 0.20 -75.5% Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

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