Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Games of Thrones Enters at the Top of the Rankings

By | April 17, 2019

For the first time since I have been doing the Scorecard, another show has moved ahead of The Walking Dead in the rankings. HBO’s Game of Thrones returned for its eighth and final season on Sunday and posted a massive 5.0 rating based on same day viewing for the 18-49 demographic. That’s much better than the 1.9 rating TWD averaged this past season as the Walking Dexit continues for that show. Expect Game of Thrones to remain at the top of the Scorecard as it airs out its final season.

Moving down this week was CBS’ God Friended Me (from Number 11 to Number 15) which saw a notable ratings drop this past week. Also, FX’s What We Do in the Shadows dropped (from Number 22 to Number 28) after experiencing a major ratings slide last week. And Starz’s American Gods dropped (from Number 33 to Number 36) as that show’s numbers continue to sink. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can find the full ratings coverage from this past week in our latest Weekly Roundup post.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through April 14th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (n/a) Game of Thrones (O) HBO 5.03 0.50 906.0% Renewed
2 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 1.88 0.50 276.1% Renewed
3 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 0.96 0.30 219.7% Renewed
4 (3) The Flash (O) CW 0.64 0.32 101.7% Renewed
5 (4) The Purge (O) USA 0.41 0.30 36.0% Renewed
6 (5) Supernatural (O) CW 0.41 0.32 28.8% Renewed
7 (6) Arrow (O) CW 0.38 0.32 19.8% Renewed
8 (7) Riverdale (O) CW 0.38 0.32 19.8% Renewed
9 (8) Supergirl (O) CW 0.37 0.32 16.1% Renewed
10 (9) Manifest (O) NBC 1.25 1.10 13.5% Renewal Possible
11 (10) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.19 0.17 9.8% Renewed
12 (12) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.30 0.32 -6.0% Renewed
12 (13) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.30 0.32 -6.0% Renewed
14 (14) Legacies (O) CW 0.30 0.32 -6.0% Renewed
15 (11) God Friended Me (O) CBS 0.89 0.95 -7.2% Renewed
16 (15) The Passage (O) FOX 0.92 0.99 -7.6% On the Bubble
17 (16) Deadly Class (O) Syfy 0.15 0.17 -12.9% Renewal Possible
18 (17) Siren (O) Freeform 0.17 0.20 -13.1% Renewal Possible
19 (20) Charmed (O) CW 0.28 0.32 -13.4% Renewed
20 (19) Project Blue Book (O) History 0.31 0.36 -13.6% Renewed
21 (18) Roswell New Mexico (O) CW 0.27 0.32 -14.5% Renewal Possible
22 (21) Outlander (O) Starz 0.17 0.20 -15.0% Renewed
23 (23) Star Wars Resistance (O) Disney 0.08 0.10 -22.0% Renewed
24 (25) Z Nation (F) Syfy 0.13 0.17 -23.5% Cancelled
25 (24) The Orville (O) FOX 0.75 0.99 -24.4% Renewal Possible
26 (27) The Good Place (O) NBC 0.83 1.10 -25.1% Renewed
27 (26) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.71 0.95 -25.5% Renewal Possible
28 (22) What We Do in the Shadows (O) FX 0.20 0.30 -34.4% Renewal Possible
29 (28) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.13 0.20 -35.0% Renewal Possible
30 (29) Gotham (O) FOX 0.64 0.99 -35.5% Final Season
31 (30) Nightflyers Syfy 0.11 0.17 -36.9% Cancelled
32 (31) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.61 0.99 -38.9% Cancellation Likely
33 (32) Happy (O) Syfy 0.10 0.17 -41.2% On the Bubble
34 (34) Van Helsing (F) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -45.7% Renewed
35 (35) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.04 0.08 -46.9% Cancelled
36 (33) American Gods (O) Starz 0.11 0.20 -47.5% Renewed
37 (36) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.23 0.50 -55.0% Cancelled
38 (37) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -57.8% Cancelled
39 (38) Midnight Texas (O) (F) NBC 0.41 1.10 -62.7% Cancelled
40 (39) Mars NGC 0.06 0.16 -65.6% Renewal Possible
41 (40) Counterpart Starz 0.05 0.20 -75.5% Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

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