Cancellation Watch Scorecard: The Outpost Slips in the Rankings

By | August 1, 2018

The CW’s fantasy series The Outpost slipped three slots in the Scorecard this week, dropping from Number 51 to Number 54.  That show is a foreign acquisition, though, so its performance in the ratings here in the States may not be as important to its survival.  Also slipping was Colony as it dropped one slot after wrapping up last week on a ratings low note. Apart from that, most of the rest of the movement was just incidental. For the ratings coverage from this past week, be sure to check out our latest Weekly Roundup post. Note that there will be no Scorecard post next week as I will be traveling. But it will resume the following week when I return.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through July 29th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 3.39 0.50 578.0% 5.22 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.10 0.50 120.7% 2.47 Renewed
3 (3) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.94 0.50 88.5% 1.73 Renewed
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.71 0.38 86.4% 1.55 Renewed
5 (5) Outlander Starz 0.32 0.20 59.6% 0.60 Renewed
6 (6) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.26 0.17 54.3% 0.57 Renewed
7 (7) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.56 0.38 46.5% 0.96 Renewed
8 (8) Supernatural (O) CW 0.53 0.38 37.9% 0.96 Renewed
9 (9) Krypton Syfy 0.23 0.17 36.5% 0.63 Renewed
10 (10) Supergirl (O) CW 0.49 0.38 28.6% 0.95 Renewed
11 (11) Happy (O) Syfy 0.21 0.17 24.3% 0.55 Renewed
12 (12) Riverdale (O) CW 0.43 0.38 12.4% 0.97 Renewed
13 (13) Siren Freeform 0.22 0.20 10.6% 0.52 Renewed
14 (14) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.41 0.38 7.3% 0.92 Renewed
15 (15) The Expanse Syfy 0.18 0.17 3.9% 0.40 Renewed
16 (16) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.21 0.20 3.7% 0.55 Renewed
17 (17) The Orville (O) FOX 1.00 0.97 3.6% 2.15 Renewed
18 (18) Westworld HBO 0.61 0.60 1.7% 1.05 Renewed
19 (19) Z Nation Syfy 0.17 0.17 0.5% 0.37 Renewed
20 (20) Arrow (O) CW 0.38 0.38 -1.2% 0.87 Renewed
21 (21) The X-Files (O) FOX 0.95 0.97 -1.6% n/a Final Season
22 (22) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.04 1.09 -4.7% 1.95 Renewed
23 (23) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.85 0.97 -12.0% 2.08 Renewed
24 (24) The Originals (O) CW 0.31 0.38 -19.3% 0.70 Final Season
25 (25) Lucifer FOX 0.76 0.97 -20.8% 1.37 Renewed
26 (26) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.76 0.97 -21.3% n/a Cancelled
27 (27) Shadowhunters (O) Freeform 0.16 0.20 -21.7% 0.37 Final Season
28 (28) The 100 (O) CW 0.30 0.38 -21.7% 0.68 Renewed
29 (29) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.06 0.08 -21.9% n/a Renewed
30 (30) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.83 1.07 -22.0% n/a Renewed
31 (31) Final Space (O) TBS 0.23 0.30 -22.7% n/a Renewed
32 (32) Ghosted (O) FOX 0.73 0.97 -24.9% 0.60 Cancelled
33 (33) Van Helsing Syfy 0.13 0.17 -25.8% 0.30 Renewed
34 (34) The Librarians TNT 0.29 0.40 -27.5% 0.60 Cancelled
35 (35) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.22 0.30 -28.0% 0.44 Renewed
36 (36) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.36 0.50 -28.5% 0.70 On the Bubble
37 (37) Gotham FOX 0.68 0.97 -29.4% 1.38 Renewed
38 (38) Wynonna Earp Syfy 0.12 0.17 -29.4% n/a Renewed
39 (39) iZombie (O) CW 0.24 0.38 -37.8% 0.50 Final Season
40 (40) Reverie (O) NBC 0.48 0.80 -40.0% 0.70 Cancellation Likely
41 (41) Salvation (O) CBS 0.34 0.60 -43.3% n/a On the Bubble
42 (43) Timeless (O) NBC 0.60 1.09 -45.0% 1.17 Cancelled
43 (42) Colony (O) USA 0.16 0.30 -45.6% 0.38 Cancelled
44 (44) The Crossing (O) ABC 0.61 1.13 -46.2% 1.33 Cancelled
45 (45) Killjoys Syfy 0.09 0.17 -47.1% n/a Renewed
46 (46) The Inhumans (O) (F) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 1.13 Cancelled
46 (47) Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 0.97 Cancelled
48 (48) Superstition Syfy 0.09 0.17 -48.5% n/a Cancelled
49 (49) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.0% n/a Renewed
50 (50) Ghost Wars Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.8% n/a Cancelled
51 (52) Counterpart Starz 0.09 0.20 -53.0% n/a Renewed
52 (53) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.52 1.13 -53.5% 1.17 Renewed
53 (54) The Shannara Chronicles (O) Spike 0.09 0.20 -54.3% 0.30 Cancelled
54 (51) The Outpost CW 0.13 0.30 -55.6% n/a On the Bubble
55 (55) Preacher (O) AMC 0.22 0.50 -56.0% 0.50 On the Bubble
56 (56) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.42 0.97 -56.5% 0.60 Cancelled
57 (57) Beyond Freeform 0.09 0.20 -56.7% n/a Cancelled
58 (58) Once Upon A Time (O) (F) ABC 0.46 1.13 -59.3% 0.99 Cancelled
59 (59) 12 Monkeys (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -61.8% n/a Final Season
60 (60) Legion (O) FX 0.19 0.50 -62.0% 0.47 Renewed
61 (61) Ash vs Evil Dead Starz 0.08 0.20 -62.5% 5.00 Cancelled
62 (62) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.07 0.30 -76.7% n/a Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

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