Cancellation Watch: The Ratings Roundup – Once Upon A Time and Agents of SHIELD Continue to Sink Despite Renewals

By | March 29, 2016

Unless otherwise noted, the ratings numbers below are based on the final overnights and may vary slightly from the preliminaries reported on the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site.

once-upon-a-time-abc-s4I’m on a travel week, so no extended analysis for this post, but the full ratings roundup is below. There have been no major developments since last week as the DST Effect and ratings slump continue to drive down the numbers. Despite this, the renewal fever continues and the latest beneficiary of that is FOX’s The Last Man on Earth as it received a third season pickup. I will be introducing the new, streamlined ratings roundup format next week as we head into the Spring season (you can see the schedule at this link). And you can see the latest broadcast network and cable scorecards at this link.

Ratings results for the sci fi / fantasy shows airing Monday March 21st thru Sunday March 27th (metric definitions below):

(Updated for the broadcast network and cable Top 25 chart activity)

Gotham FOX Mon 3/21 8 PM
Rating: 1.3 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 3.9 | StD Rating: 1.5 | Net Avg: 1.5 | Cancellation Alert: Low

This one remained down, but in line with what we are seeing from the DST Effect and the current ratings slump. And it has been renewed for a third season

Supergirl CBS Mon 3/21 8 PM
Rating: 1.3 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 6.0 | StD Rating: 1.7 | Net Avg: 1.6 | Cancellation Alert: Low

The show’s season to date numbers are still above the average for CBS, but its actuals have been well below the average the last few weeks. But I still believe that the current renewal fever will keep this one going into a second season.

Lucifer CBS Mon 3/21 9 PM
Rating: 1.2 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 3.8 | StD Rating: 1.6 | Net Avg: 1.6 | Cancellation Alert: Low

It held steadily low, but I still believe it has a decent chance of surviving due to the renewal fever currently infecting the broadcast nets. Plus, FOX has extra space to fill on its schedule seeing as American Idol will not be returning next season.

The Magicians Syfy Mon 3/21 9 PM
Rating: 0.3 | % Chng PW: +14.3% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.8 | StD Rating: 0.3 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This show continues to hold mostly steady and it has already been renewed for a second season.

Damien A&E Mon 3/21 10 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: -4.8% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.5 | StD Rating: 0.2 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Moderate

It slipped just a bit more from the prior week and it will need sufficient international financing/partnerships to keep it afloat at these levels.

Lost Girl Syfy Mon 3/21 10 PM
Rating: 0.1 | % Chng PW: -20.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.3 | StD Rating: 0.1 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Final Season

It slipped for its series finale but now it heads into syndication where it will likely live on for several more years.

Bitten Syfy Mon 3/21 11 PM
Rating: 0.1 | % Chng PW: -11.1% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.3 | StD Rating: 0.1 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Final Season

The numbers remain low for this show as it airs out its final season.

The Flash CW Tue 3/22 8 PM
Rating: 1.1 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 3.0 | StD Rating: 1.4 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

It dropped from its last new episode, but that’s to be expected after taking three weeks off, and the DST effect probably factored into the decline as well. No matter for this one because it has been renewed for a third season.

Agents of SHIELD ABC Tue 3/22 9 PM
Rating: 0.9 | % Chng PW: -10.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.9 | StD Rating: 1.3 | Net Avg: 1.5 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This show continues to sink and I have to wonder if ABC won’t make that fourth season renewal for just thirteen episodes. That will give it enough episodes for syndication if they package it with Agent Carter.

iZombie CW Tue 3/22 9 PM
Rating: 0.5 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.2 | StD Rating: 0.5 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This show only dropped one tick from its last new episode and it has already been renewed for a third season.

Shadowhunters Free Tue 3/22 9 PM
Rating: 0.3 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.8 | StD Rating: 0.4 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

It held mostly steady for the week and it has been renewed for a second season.

Stitchers Free Tue 3/22 10 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.4 | StD Rating: 0.2 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Moderate

This show pulled pretty low numbers for its second season bow and I have to wonder if it can survive at these levels. But perhaps it has sufficient international financing and/or partnerships to keep it going.

Limitless CBS Tue 3/22 10 PM
Rating: 1.3 | % Chng PW: +18.2% | Tot Viewers (MM): 6.6 | StD Rating: 1.4 | Net Avg: 1.6 | Cancellation Alert: Moderate

It saw a nice improvement in its numbers after several weeks at season lows. But then what does CBS turnaround and do to it? The preempted it this week, which will almost certainly cause the numbers to slide again.

Chart Activity: This show’s surge last week got it back in the broadcast network Top 25 based on total viewers based the Number 24 slot.  Unfortunately, this week’s preemption means that it will likely drop back out when the numbers are tallied next week.

Arrow CW Wed 3/23 8 PM
Rating: 0.7 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.0 | StD Rating: 1.0 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This show returned from its three week hiatus at what I believe is tied with its series low. The CW needs to cut out that second hiatus its does to its shows every year around this time (I will look at that in more detail next week). Still, Arrow has no worries as it has been renewed for a fifth season.

Supernatural CW Wed 3/23 9 PM
Rating: 0.6 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.7 | StD Rating: 0.7 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

The drop was expected after three weeks off, but this show is still continuing on to a record-busting twelfth season and may not stop until it hits 20!

Star Wars Rebels DXD Wed 3/23 9:30 PM
Rating: 0.1 | % Chng PW: -18.8% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.5 | StD Rating: 0.1 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This show continues to do well enough with its target demographic and it heads into its season finale this week. It has been renewed for a third year.

Legends of Tomorrow(R) CW Thu 3/24 8 PM
Rating: 0.4 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.2 | StD Rating: 0.9 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Repeat. It returns with new episodes this week.

You Me and the Apocalypse NBC Thu 3/24 8 PM
Rating: 0.6 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.7 | StD Rating: 0.7 | Net Avg: 1.6 | Cancellation Alert: Elevated

It remained low for its second to last episode and will likely be sent to the Network Executioner when it wraps up next week (unless the British Sky channel elects to keep it going without NBC onboard as a partner).

The 100(R) CW Thu 3/24 9 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.8 | StD Rating: 0.6 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Repeat. It returns with new episodes this week.

Colony USA Thu 3/24 10 PM
Rating: Season Ended | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): n/a | StD Rating: 0.4 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Season ended. Returns in 2017 for its second season.

Vampire Diaries(R) CW Fri 3/25 8 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.6 | StD Rating: 0.5 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Repeat. It returns with new episodes this week.

Sleepy Hollow FOX Fri 3/25 8 PM
Rating: 0.7 | % Chng PW: -12.5% | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.5 | StD Rating: 0.8 | Net Avg: 1.5 | Cancellation Alert: High

This show slipped back down and I’m not sure the current renewal fever is strong enough to convince FOX to bring it back for a fourth year.

Slasher Chill Fri 3/25 9 PM
Rating: 0.0 | % Chng PW: -50.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.1 | StD Rating: 0.0 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Low

This show remained low, but Chiller is likely looking more for good buzz than ratings wins at the moment as it tries to establish itself as a producer of original scripted programming.

The Originals(R) CW Fri 3/25 9 PM
Rating: 0.2 | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.5 | StD Rating: 0.4 | Net Avg: 0.6 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Repeat. It returns with new episodes this week.

Second Chance FOX Fri 3/25 9 PM
Rating: 0.5 | % Chng PW: 0.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.1 | StD Rating: 0.6 | Net Avg: 1.5 | Cancellation Alert: High

It remained low for its season finale and I am not expecting the Network Executioner to give this one a . . . second chance.

Grimm NBC Fri 3/25 9 PM
Rating: 0.9 | % Chng PW: -10.0% | Tot Viewers (MM): 4.3 | StD Rating: 0.9 | Net Avg: 1.6 | Cancellation Alert: Medium

It slipped back down, but I still believe it has a chance of surviving in the current renewal fever because it plugs up an hour on low viewership Fridays.

Beowulf ESQ Sat 3/26 10 PM
Rating: 0.0 | % Chng PW: -50% | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.1 | StD Rating: 0.0 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Moderate

The numbers remain low for this and it work is that its British network ITV will be cancelling it.

Once Upon A Time ABC Sun 3/27 8 PM
Rating: 1.0 | % Chng PW: -9.1% | Tot Viewers (MM): 3.5 | StD Rating: 1.5 | Net Avg: 1.5 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

It slipped on Easter Sunday which is to be expected. But overall its numbers have been down of late reinforcing my thoughts that next season could be its last.

The Walking Dead AMC Sun 3/27 9 PM
Rating: 5.8 | % Chng PW: -3.5% | Tot Viewers (MM): 12.4 | StD Rating: 6.5 | Net Avg: n/a | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

It dropped slightly due to Easter Sunday, but it will jump back up for its season finale.

Chart Activity:  This show held at Number 2 in the Weekly Nielsen Twitter Ratings Top 10 for the week.  It held at Number 1 in the Cable Top 25 based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic and based on total viewers.  Post-show discussion series The Talking Dead was at Number 4 and 5 on those charts respectively.

The Last Man on Earth FOX Sun 3/27 9:30 PM
Rating: Preempted | % Chng PW: n/a | Tot Viewers (MM): n/a | StD Rating: 1.3 | Net Avg: 1.5 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Preempted. It returns with new episodes next week and it has been renewed for a third season.

Be sure keep an eye out for the latest numbers and any breaking news throughout the week at the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site. You can see the status of all the currently airing sci fi / fantasy shows at the Cancellation Watch page and also the latest Sci Fi TV Power Rankings post. And for more information on where I get these numbers and how I make my Cancellation Alert assessments, check out the Cancelled Sci Fi FAQ.

Metric Definitions:

Rating: Overnight rating in the 18-49 demographic for same day viewing based on the final numbers unless otherwise noted

% Chng PW: The percentage change +/- for this week’s rating vs. last week’s rating.

Tot Viewers: Estimated total viewers (age 2+) to tune in to the episode for same day viewing.

StD Rating: Season to date average for the rating metric tracked above.

Net Avg:  The season to date average rating for the network for non-sports programming and non-repeats.  This data is available for the broadcast networks only.

Cancellation Alert: My prediction of the likelihood that a show will get cancelled. From least to most likely the statuses are Low, Moderate, Medium, Elevated, and High.

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