Cancellation Watch: Grimm and Constantine Got Tricked Out on Halloween

By | November 4, 2014

Unless otherwise noted, the ratings numbers below are based on the final overnights and may vary slightly from the preliminaries reported on the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site.

Grimm-Official-Companion-SCTrick no Treat: Grimm and Constantine both aired their second episodes for the current season on Friday, Halloween night and both got rocks in their bag. The former slipped to a 1.1 rating in the 18-49 demographic with 4.5 million total viewers (matching a series low) and the latter plummeted to a 0.9 rating with 3.1 million total viewers. Now it should be noted that Halloween is typically a low viewership night, and even though both of these shows seem appropriate to the holiday, the drop was not completely unexpected. Still, it was a significant slide especially considering that neither show set off any ratings sparks with their current season premieres. Grimm I’m not too worried about and I expect it to rebound. And actually, if that one can hold around a very modest 1.2 ratings average this season, I think NBC will give it the fifth season nod to plug up that low viewership timeslot and pad out the show’s episodes for its syndication run. Constantine is another story, though. It is a new show and a long way’s off from a syndication friendly count of episodes. Last season, Dracula averaged a 1.1 rating in the 18-49 demo based on the overnights in the Friday 10 PM EST timeslot and got cancelled. And Dracula came cheaper to the network because it had international partnerships helping with the production costs. Constantine has no such financing and I’m guessing NBC will want to see better ratings numbers from it. I don’t even know that the 1.2 threshold that I have for Grimm would be good enough, but it will be really tough for the new show to improve on the veteran’s ratings in the lead-out slot. I’m not pushing the panic button on Constantine just yet because I want to see at least one more night’s ratings that are not skewed by candy-grubbing holidays. I have moved the show to a Moderate Cancellation Alert, though, and this coming Friday’s results will determine if that goes higher pretty quickly.

Following are the full ratings results (metric definitions below) for the Friday thru Monday shows with my comments. And keep an eye on the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site for the latest numbers and any breaking news.  For more information on where I get these numbers and how I make my Cancellation Alert assessments, check out the Cancelled Sci Fi FAQ.

Haven Syfy Fri 10/31 7 PM
Rating: 0.2 | Tot Viewers (MM): 0.9 | StD Rating: 0.2 | Target: 0.4 | Cancellation Alert: Medium

Another Friday, another 0.2 ratings score for this show. I can’t believe at this point that Syfy keeps this one going beyond its fifth season, especially with all the shows they have on the way.

Grimm NBC Fri 10/31 9 PM
Rating: 1.1 | Tot Viewers (MM): 4.5 | StD Rating: 1.3 | Target: 1.2 | Cancellation Alert: Low

This show tended to go up and down the last few seasons, so expect it to rebound this coming Friday.

Constantine NBC Fri 10/31 10 PM
Rating: 0.9 | Tot Viewers (MM): 3.1 | StD Rating: 1.2 | Target: 1.2 | Cancellation Alert: Low

If Constantine’s numbers stay low in this slot, the right for NBC to do would be to try it out in another hour and see if that helps. But why on Earth would we expect a television network to do the right thing . . .

Z Nation Syfy Fri 10/31 10 PM
Rating: 0.4 | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.1 | StD Rating: 0.5 | Target: 0.4 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This show keeps hanging in there and doing what the network expects it to do.

Once Upon A Time ABC Sun 11/2 8 PM
Rating: 2.6 | Tot Viewers (MM): 7.5 | StD Rating: 2.9 | Target: 1.8 | Cancellation Alert: Low

The numbers improved from last week and should be good enough to keep it in the Top 25 based on the ratings. Season 5, here we come.

Resurrection ABC Sun 11/2 9 PM
Rating: 1.4 | Tot Viewers (MM): 5.0 | StD Rating: 1.7 | Target: 2.0 | Cancellation Alert: Medium

A little bit of good news for this show as it improved by two ticks this week. Not certain if that will be enough to keep it alive, though.

The Walking Dead AMC Sun 11/2 9 PM
Rating: 7.6 | Tot Viewers (MM): 14.5 | StD Rating: 7.8 | Target: 2.0 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Ho hum. Another week another set of monster numbers for this show. Apparently the return of Beth intrigued viewers enough to cause the numbers to spike for the week as this show continues with its record-setting season.

The Originals CW Mon 11/3 8 PM
Rating: 0.6 | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.3 | StD Rating: 0.6 | Target: 0.7 | Cancellation Alert: Low

(Numbers based on the preliminaries) It slipped one tick this week, but it’s still doing much better than anything The CW had on this night last year.

Gotham FOX Mon 11/3 8 PM
Rating: 2.4 | Tot Viewers (MM): 6.6 | StD Rating: 2.6 | Target: 2.0 | Cancellation Alert: Low

(Numbers based on the preliminaries) This show is up two ticks from last week and looks like it might have stopped it ratings slide. If it can hold at these numbers then FOX would be thrilled.

Sleepy Hollow FOX Mon 11/3 9 PM
Rating: 1.5 | Tot Viewers (MM): 4.5 | StD Rating: 1.7 | Target: 2.0 | Cancellation Alert: Low

It’s down one tick from last week (and down to a series low), but it’s still doing okay compared to the rest of FOX’s shows. If it could improve by a couple of ticks, though, that would definitely help its cause.

Metric Definitions:

Rating: Overnight rating in the 18-49 demographic for same day viewing based on the final numbers unless otherwise noted

Tot Viewers: Estimated total viewers to tune in to the episode for same day viewing

StD Rating: Season to date average for the rating metric tracked above.

Target: The estimated average rating that the show needs to sustain to get renewed.

Cancellation Alert: My prediction of the likelihood that a show will get cancelled. From least to most likely the statuses are Low, Moderate, Medium, Elevated, and High.

Ratings Source: TV by the Numbers and ShowBuzzDaily

Nielsen TV Ratings: ©2014 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved.

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