Scorecard: Batwoman Slips, Debris Falls Out of the Top 10

When the first edition of the Mid-Season Scorecard hit back in February The CW’s Batwoman started out in the Number 5 slot. Since that time, it has been sliding down in the rankings and dropped two additional places this week to Number 14. But that one is still doing well enough for a CW show and has already been renewed for a third season. NBC’s Debris started at the Number 7 slot last week, but as expected its ranking dropped notably this week after its ratings slipped with its second episode. It fell six slots to Number 13, but its most recent numbers look a little bit better and it could improve next week. The rest of the movement in the Scorecard was mostly incidental and you can see the full ratings results from the week at this link.

The Scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see metric definitions below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through March 14th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.75 0.30 150.8% Renewed
2 (2) Superman & Lois (O) CW 0.31 0.16 93.7% Renewal Possible
3 (4) Supernatural (O) CW 0.30 0.16 89.5% Final Season
4 (3) The Flash (O) CW 0.30 0.16 86.3% Renewed
5 (5) Resident Alien (O) Syfy 0.20 0.15 33.3% Renewal Possible
6 (6) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.35 0.30 18.1% Renewed
7 (8) Legacies (O) CW 0.15 0.16 -6.3% Renewed
8 (9) Riverdale (O) CW 0.14 0.16 -9.8% Renewed
9 (10) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.53 0.58 -10.1% Renewal Possible
10 (11) Snowpiercer TNT 0.26 0.30 -13.8% Renewed
11 (14) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.13 0.16 -16.6% Final Season
12 (13) The Walking Dead World Beyond (O) AMC 0.25 0.30 -16.7% Renewed
13 (7) Debris (O) NBC 0.48 0.57 -16.7% Renewal Possible
14 (12) Batwoman (O) CW 0.13 0.16 -17.0% Renewed
15 (16) Primal ADSW 0.19 0.25 -24.0% Renewed
16 (15) Swamp Thing (O) CW 0.12 0.16 -24.2% Cancelled
17 (17) Wynonna Earp Syfy 0.09 0.15 -40.0% Cancelled
18 (20) Nancy Drew (O) CW 0.09 0.16 -42.2% Renewed
19 (18) Two Sentence Horror Stories CW 0.09 0.16 -44.2% Renewed
19 (19) Charmed (O) CW 0.09 0.16 -44.2% Renewed
21 (21) The Outpost CW 0.08 0.16 -48.0% Renewal Possible
22 (22) Trickster CW 0.08 0.16 -52.6% Cancelled
23 (23) Pandora CW 0.07 0.16 -55.8% On the Bubble
24 (24) NeXt FOX 0.25 0.66 -62.8% Cancelled
25 (25) Star Trek Discovery (O) CBS 0.21 0.58 -63.8% Renewed
26 (26) American Gods (O) Starz 0.04 0.15 -76.3% On the Bubble
27 (27) His Dark Materials HBO 0.05 0.30 -82.4% Renewed
28 (28) The Watch BBCA 0.03 0.25 -86.3% Renewal Possible
29 (29) Moonbase 8 Show 0.01 0.20 -95.6% On the Bubble

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a show’s survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily

Author: johnnyjay

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