Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Salvation Slips in the Rankings

By | August 29, 2018

There was not much movement in this week’s Scorecard which is to be expected at this point in the season. Salvation did slip by one slot to Number 43, but other than some incidental movement the other shows held steady. The Fall season starts next week, so I will be wrapping up the 2017-18 Scorecard once this week’s activity is in the books. Several Summer shows are still airing new episodes, but I don’t expect much movement from them (maybe changing by a slot or two) so next week’s rankings should give us a pretty final view. The Scorecard will then go on break for September as I start to collect the ratings numbers for the broadcast nets to set the benchmarks for the 2018-19 season. Look for the first set of rankings for the coming season to be out the first week of October.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through August 26th:

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 3.39 0.50 578.0% 5.22 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.10 0.50 120.7% 2.47 Renewed
3 (3) The Flash (O) CW 0.71 0.38 86.4% 1.55 Renewed
4 (4) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.86 0.50 72.0% 1.73 Renewed
5 (5) Outlander Starz 0.32 0.20 59.6% 0.60 Renewed
6 (6) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.26 0.17 54.3% 0.57 Renewed
7 (7) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.56 0.38 46.5% 0.96 Renewed
8 (8) Supernatural (O) CW 0.53 0.38 37.9% 0.96 Renewed
9 (9) Krypton Syfy 0.23 0.17 36.5% 0.63 Renewed
10 (10) Supergirl (O) CW 0.49 0.38 28.6% 0.95 Renewed
11 (11) Happy (O) Syfy 0.21 0.17 24.3% 0.55 Renewed
12 (12) Riverdale (O) CW 0.43 0.38 12.4% 0.97 Renewed
13 (13) Siren Freeform 0.22 0.20 10.6% 0.52 Renewed
14 (14) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.41 0.38 7.3% 0.92 Renewed
15 (15) The Expanse Syfy 0.18 0.17 3.9% 0.40 Renewed
16 (16) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.21 0.20 3.7% 0.55 Renewed
17 (17) The Orville (O) FOX 1.00 0.97 3.6% 2.15 Renewed
18 (18) Westworld HBO 0.61 0.60 1.7% 1.05 Renewed
19 (19) Z Nation Syfy 0.17 0.17 0.5% 0.37 Renewed
20 (20) Arrow (O) CW 0.38 0.38 -1.2% 0.87 Renewed
21 (21) The X-Files (O) FOX 0.95 0.97 -1.6% n/a Final Season
22 (22) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.04 1.09 -4.7% 1.95 Renewed
23 (23) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.85 0.97 -12.0% 2.08 Renewed
24 (24) The Originals (O) CW 0.31 0.38 -19.5% 0.70 Final Season
25 (25) Lucifer FOX 0.76 0.97 -20.8% 1.37 Renewed
26 (26) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.76 0.97 -21.3% n/a Cancelled
27 (27) Shadowhunters (O) Freeform 0.16 0.20 -21.7% 0.37 Final Season
28 (28) The 100 (O) CW 0.30 0.38 -21.7% 0.68 Renewed
29 (29) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.06 0.08 -21.9% n/a Renewed
30 (30) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.83 1.07 -22.0% n/a Renewed
31 (31) Final Space (O) TBS 0.23 0.30 -22.7% n/a Renewed
32 (32) Ghosted (O) FOX 0.73 0.97 -24.9% 0.60 Cancelled
33 (33) Van Helsing Syfy 0.13 0.17 -25.8% 0.30 Renewed
34 (34) The Librarians TNT 0.29 0.40 -27.5% 0.60 Cancelled
35 (35) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.22 0.30 -28.0% 0.44 Renewed
36 (36) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.36 0.50 -28.5% 0.70 On the Bubble
37 (37) Gotham FOX 0.68 0.97 -29.4% 1.38 Renewed
38 (38) Wynonna Earp Syfy 0.12 0.17 -30.4% n/a Renewed
39 (39) iZombie (O) CW 0.24 0.38 -37.8% 0.50 Final Season
40 (40) Reverie (O) NBC 0.48 0.80 -40.0% 0.70 Cancellation Likely
41 (41) Timeless (O) NBC 0.60 1.09 -45.0% 1.17 Cancelled
42 (42) Colony (O) USA 0.16 0.30 -45.6% 0.38 Cancelled
43 (44) The Crossing (O) ABC 0.61 1.13 -46.2% 1.33 Cancelled
44 (43) Salvation (O) CBS 0.32 0.60 -46.3% n/a On the Bubble
45 (45) The Inhumans (O) (F) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 1.13 Cancelled
45 (46) Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 0.97 Cancelled
47 (47) Superstition Syfy 0.09 0.17 -48.5% n/a Cancelled
48 (48) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.0% n/a Renewed
49 (49) Ghost Wars Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.8% n/a Cancelled
50 (50) Preacher (O) AMC 0.25 0.50 -51.0% 0.50 On the Bubble
51 (51) Killjoys Syfy 0.08 0.17 -52.9% n/a Renewed
52 (52) Counterpart Starz 0.09 0.20 -53.0% n/a Renewed
53 (53) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.52 1.13 -53.5% 1.17 Renewed
54 (54) The Shannara Chronicles (O) Spike 0.09 0.20 -54.3% 0.30 Cancelled
55 (55) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.42 0.97 -56.5% 0.60 Cancelled
56 (56) Beyond Freeform 0.09 0.20 -56.7% n/a Cancelled
57 (57) Once Upon A Time (O) (F) ABC 0.46 1.13 -59.3% 0.99 Cancelled
58 (58) The Outpost CW 0.12 0.30 -61.1% n/a On the Bubble
59 (59) 12 Monkeys (O) Syfy 0.07 0.17 -61.8% n/a Final Season
60 (60) Legion (O) FX 0.19 0.50 -62.0% 0.47 Renewed
61 (61) Ash vs Evil Dead Starz 0.08 0.20 -62.5% 5.00 Cancelled
62 (62) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.07 0.30 -76.7% n/a Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.