Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Ghosted Continues to Slip, Preacher Starts Low

By | June 27, 2018

FOX has been airing the remaining Season 1 episodes of Ghosted amidst repeats on Sunday nights, and it has performed no better than those causing it to slip down the Scorecard since returning to the schedule. This week it dropped another seven places (from Number 25 to Number 32) and its remaining episodes are not on the schedule at this point, so this one could likely be headed to the grave. AMC’s Preacher returned on Sunday, but its numbers were down notably from its second season and it starts low in the Scorecard at the Number 50 slot. That one may have international and/or streaming deals propping it up, but it is starting out its third season On the Bubble. Most of the rest of the movement for the week was just incidental and you can see the full rankings below. For the ratings coverage from this past week, be sure to check out our latest Weekly Roundup post.




The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi and fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through June 24th (metric definitions below):

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 3.39 0.50 578.0% 5.22 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.10 0.50 120.7% 2.47 Renewed
3 (3) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.94 0.50 88.5% n/a Renewal Possible
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 0.71 0.38 86.4% 1.61 Renewed
5 (5) Outlander Starz 0.32 0.20 59.6% 0.60 Renewed
6 (6) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.26 0.17 54.3% 0.57 Renewed
7 (7) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.56 0.38 46.5% 0.97 Renewed
8 (8) Supernatural (O) CW 0.53 0.38 37.9% 0.99 Renewed
9 (9) Krypton Syfy 0.23 0.17 36.5% 0.77 Renewed
10 (10) Supergirl (O) CW 0.49 0.38 28.6% 1.01 Renewed
11 (11) Happy (O) Syfy 0.21 0.17 24.3% 0.55 Renewed
12 (12) Cloak and Dagger (O) Freeform 0.23 0.20 13.3% n/a Renewal Possible
13 (13) Riverdale (O) CW 0.43 0.38 12.4% 1.01 Renewed
14 (14) Siren Freeform 0.22 0.20 10.6% 0.55 Renewed
15 (15) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.41 0.38 7.3% 0.94 Renewed
16 (16) The Expanse Syfy 0.18 0.17 4.3% n/a Renewed
17 (17) The Orville (O) FOX 1.00 0.97 3.6% 2.15 Renewed
18 (18) Westworld HBO 0.61 0.60 1.7% n/a Renewed
19 (19) Z Nation Syfy 0.17 0.17 0.5% 0.37 Renewed
20 (20) Arrow (O) CW 0.38 0.38 -1.2% 0.93 Renewed
21 (21) The X-Files (O) FOX 0.95 0.97 -1.6% n/a Final Season
22 (22) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.04 1.09 -4.7% 1.95 Renewed
23 (23) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.85 0.97 -12.0% 2.08 Renewed
24 (24) The 100 (O) CW 0.33 0.38 -14.3% n/a Renewed
25 (26) The Originals (O) CW 0.33 0.38 -15.2% n/a Final Season
26 (27) Lucifer FOX 0.76 0.97 -20.8% 1.37 Renewed
27 (28) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.76 0.97 -21.3% n/a Cancelled
28 (29) Shadowhunters (O) Freeform 0.16 0.20 -21.7% 0.40 Final Season
29 (30) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.06 0.08 -21.9% n/a Renewed
30 (31) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.83 1.07 -22.0% n/a Renewed
31 (32) Final Space (O) TBS 0.23 0.30 -22.7% n/a Renewed
32 (25) Ghosted (O) FOX 0.73 0.97 -24.9% n/a On the Bubble
33 (33) Van Helsing Syfy 0.13 0.17 -25.8% 0.30 Renewed
34 (34) The Librarians TNT 0.29 0.40 -27.5% 0.60 Cancelled
35 (35) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.22 0.30 -28.0% 0.44 Renewed
36 (36) Into the Badlands (O) AMC 0.36 0.50 -28.5% n/a On the Bubble
37 (37) Gotham FOX 0.68 0.97 -29.4% 1.41 Renewed
38 (38) Reverie (O) NBC 0.50 0.80 -37.5% n/a Cancellation Likely
39 (39) iZombie (O) CW 0.24 0.38 -37.8% 0.50 Final Season
40 (40) Colony (O) USA 0.18 0.30 -41.3% n/a On the Bubble
41 (41) Timeless (O) NBC 0.60 1.09 -45.0% 1.23 Cancelled
42 (42) The Crossing (O) ABC 0.61 1.13 -46.2% 1.60 Cancelled
43 (43) The Inhumans (O) (F) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 1.13 Cancelled
43 (44) Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) ABC 0.59 1.13 -48.0% 0.97 Cancelled
45 (45) Superstition Syfy 0.09 0.17 -48.5% n/a Cancellation Likely
46 (46) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.0% n/a Renewed
47 (47) Ghost Wars Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.8% n/a Cancelled
48 (48) Counterpart Starz 0.09 0.20 -53.0% n/a Renewed
49 (49) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.52 1.13 -53.5% 1.23 Renewed
50 (n/a) Preacher (O) AMC 0.23 0.50 -54.0% n/a On the Bubble
51 (50) The Shannara Chronicles (O) Spike 0.09 0.20 -54.3% 0.30 Cancelled
52 (51) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.42 0.97 -56.5% 0.60 Cancelled
53 (52) Beyond Freeform 0.09 0.20 -56.7% n/a Cancelled
54 (53) Once Upon A Time (O) (F) ABC 0.46 1.13 -59.3% 1.02 Cancelled
55 (54) Legion (O) FX 0.19 0.50 -62.0% 0.70 Renewed
56 (55) Ash vs Evil Dead Starz 0.08 0.20 -62.5% n/a Cancelled
57 (56) 12 Monkeys (O) Syfy 0.06 0.17 -67.6% n/a Final Season
58 (57) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.07 0.30 -76.7% n/a Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

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