Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Not Much Change in the Rankings Due to Winter Olympics

With most of the broadcast network shows either in repeats or preempted for the week due to the Olympics, there was very little movement in the Scorecard. Expect the same next week as we will not get back to a regular schedule until Olympics coverage wraps up on Sunday. There was also very little in the way of ratings results to report from the weekend, but you can see the full numbers for the week at this link.




Scorecard rankings based on the ratings through February 11th (metric definitions below):

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 3.79 0.50 657.8% 5.92 Renewed
2 (2) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.10 0.50 120.7% 2.47 Renewed
3 (3) The Flash (O) CW 0.80 0.45 78.7% 1.64 Renewal Likely
4 (4) Outlander Starz 0.32 0.20 59.6% 0.60 Renewed
5 (5) The Magicians (O) Syfy 0.27 0.17 57.8% 0.60 Renewal Likely
6 (6) Black Lightning (O) CW 0.66 0.45 47.4% n/a Renewal Possible
7 (7) Ghosted (O) FOX 1.60 1.15 38.6% n/a Renewal Possible
8 (8) Supernatural (O) CW 0.60 0.45 34.0% 0.98 Renewal Likely
9 (9) Supergirl (O) CW 0.58 0.45 28.5% 1.01 Renewal Likely
10 (10) Happy (O) Syfy 0.21 0.17 24.3% 0.55 Renewed
11 (11) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.50 0.45 11.7% 1.03 Renewal Likely
11 (12) Riverdale (O) CW 0.50 0.45 11.7% 1.13 Renewal Likely
13 (13) Z Nation Syfy 0.17 0.17 0.5% 0.37 Renewed
14 (14) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 1.15 1.15 -0.4% n/a Renewal Possible
15 (15) Arrow (O) CW 0.43 0.45 -5.1% 1.01 Renewal Likely
16 (16) The X-Files (O) FOX 1.03 1.15 -10.5% n/a Final Season
17 (17) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.04 1.17 -11.2% 1.95 Renewed
18 (18) The Orville (O) FOX 1.00 1.15 -13.4% 2.15 Renewed
19 (19) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 0.95 1.17 -18.8% n/a Renewal Possible
20 (20) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.06 0.08 -21.9% n/a Renewed
21 (21) Gotham FOX 0.89 1.15 -22.8% 1.54 Renewal Possible
22 (22) Van Helsing Syfy 0.13 0.17 -25.8% 0.30 Renewed
23 (23) Lucifer FOX 0.85 1.15 -26.4% 1.45 Renewal Possible
24 (24) The Gifted (O) FOX 0.85 1.15 -26.4% 2.08 Renewed
25 (25) The Librarians TNT 0.29 0.40 -27.5% 0.60 Renewal Possible
26 (26) Mr Robot (O) USA 0.22 0.30 -28.0% 0.44 Renewed
28 (27) Agents of SHIELD (O) (F) ABC 0.62 1.15 -45.9% 1.27 Renewal Possible
27 (28) Channel Zero (O) Syfy 0.10 0.17 -44.1% n/a Renewed
29 (29) Kevin Probably Saves the World (O) ABC 0.60 1.15 -47.7% 1.00 Cancellation Likely
30 (30) Superstition Syfy 0.09 0.17 -48.5% n/a Cancellation Likely
31 (31) The Inhumans (O) (F) ABC 0.59 1.15 -48.9% 1.13 Cancellation Likely
32 (32) Ghost Wars Syfy 0.09 0.17 -49.8% n/a Cancellation Likely
33 (33) Counterpart Starz 0.10 0.20 -52.0% n/a Renewed
34 (34) Once Upon A Time (O) (F) ABC 0.54 1.15 -52.5% 1.09 Cancelled
36 (35) The Shannara Chronicles (O) Spike 0.09 0.20 -54.3% 0.30 Cancelled
35 (36) Beyond Freeform 0.09 0.20 -54.0% n/a On the Bubble
37 (37) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.42 1.15 -63.6% 0.60 On the Bubble
38 (38) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.07 0.30 -76.7% n/a Cancelled

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned or co-owned by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower on the broadcast networks.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts.  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

Author: admin

2 thoughts on “Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Not Much Change in the Rankings Due to Winter Olympics

  1. @xyz yes ratings dont define sucess of drama. This is the case not just for lee jun ki but to ANY other actor or actress.last time people were fighting over ratings of hwayugi and i was surprised. you can”t say it”s average based on ratings. If the ratings are not high means people are watching something else and they will watch this later when it”s aired 2nd time or 3rd time. Most of the times romance based dramas specially fantasy do rating wise well because ladies specially young girls are the one in controll of remote after school. Different genre targeted to different audience. Guess what they take interest in drama when they see good kiss scene my daughter”s do that too. That is why The general pattern sudden rise in ratings while 1st kiss LoL. The real success is not dtermined by ratings but when dvd are released and sold after one year. That time you see real sucess of dtamas. There is a reason dvd set boxes are released after 1 or 1.5 year. Another 10 years in drama land and you will see it for yourself. This is from a guy much older and in this drama world for more than 20 years

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