Cancellation Watch Scorecard: Somewhere Between and Other Broadcast Network Summer Sci Fi Shows Not Ranking High In The Scorecard

By | August 22, 2017

Apparently I never did add the July shows Salvation (CBS), Somewhere Between (ABC), and Midnight Texas (NBC) to the Cancellation Watch Scorecard, but I have them in there now. Salvation is currently at Number 30 which is slightly better than Zoo (same network) at Number 38, though the numbers for the former series have been tracking downward while the latter show as seen some improvement of late.  Somewhere Between is near the bottom of the list at Number 67 which is to be expected based on its poor ratings performance.  Midnight Texas is currently at Number 31 and it might survive into a second season if its ratings can hold or improve over the next few weeks.  Most of the rest of the movement on the scorecard was just incidental and/or adjustments based on adding in these three shows.

The scorecard ranks all of the sci fi & fantasy shows’ ratings performance vs. their network’s ratings benchmark (see definition below).  Shows at or above their benchmark should be okay, whereas those slipping notably below are getting into iffy territory.

Scorecard based on the ratings through August 20th (metric definitions below):

Rank (PW) Series Net Std Avg Net Bench % Var Live+7 Avg Rtg Status
1 (1) The Walking Dead (O) AMC 5.39 0.60 798.2% 7.95 Renewed
2 (2) Game of Thrones (O) HBO 4.61 0.60 667.5% n/a Renewed
3 (3) American Horror Story (O) FX 1.58 0.60 162.5% 3.16 Renewed
4 (4) The Flash (O) CW 1.06 0.50 112.2% 1.88 Renewed
5 (5) Fear the Walking Dead (O) AMC 0.98 0.60 62.8% 1.83 Renewed
6 (6) The Magicians Syfy 0.31 0.20 54.6% 0.71 Renewed
7 (7) Supergirl (O) CW 0.72 0.50 45.2% 1.28 Renewed
8 (8) Star Wars Rebels (O) DXD 0.14 0.10 44.7% 0.34 Renewed
9 (9) American Gods STARZ 0.28 0.20 38.1% 0.55 Renewed
10 (10) Westworld HBO 0.80 0.60 33.8% 1.50 Renewed
11 (11) Into the Badlands AMC 0.79 0.60 31.5% 1.30 Renewed
12 (12) Son of Zorn (O) FOX 1.28 0.98 30.2% n/a Cancelled
13 (13) Legends of Tomorrow (O) CW 0.64 0.50 28.8% 1.13 Renewed
14 (14) Arrow (O) CW 0.63 0.50 25.7% 1.12 Renewed
15 (15) Z Nation Syfy 0.25 0.20 24.3% 0.42 Renewed
16 (16) Supernatural (O) CW 0.60 0.50 19.6% 1.07 Renewed
17 (17) Gotham FOX 1.09 0.98 10.7% 1.80 Renewed
18 (18) Lucifer FOX 1.03 0.98 4.8% 1.77 Renewed
19 (19) Shadowhunters Free 0.26 0.25 2.0% 0.43 Renewed
20 (20) Stan Against Evil IFC 0.08 0.08 -4.7% n/a Renewed
21 (21) The Librarians TNT 0.47 0.50 -5.2% 0.88 Renewed
22 (22) Channel Zero Syfy 0.19 0.20 -5.8% 0.38 Renewed
23 (23) The Last Man on Earth (O) FOX 0.91 0.98 -7.0% 1.48 Renewed
24 (24) The Good Place (O) NBC 1.25 1.35 -7.4% 1.91 Renewed
25 (25) Colony USA 0.26 0.30 -12.6% 0.60 Renewed
26 (26) Killjoys Syfy 0.17 0.20 -14.4% n/a Renewal Possible
27 (27) MacGyver (O) (F) CBS 1.08 1.26 -14.9% 1.67 Renewed
28 (28) The Expanse Syfy 0.17 0.20 -15.0% 0.39 Renewed
29 (29) Timeless NBC 1.11 1.35 -17.6% 2.07 Renewed
30 (n/a) Salvation CBS 0.57 0.70 -19.0% n/a On the Bubble
31 (n/a) Midnight Texas ABC 0.80 1.00 -20.0% n/a Renewal Possible
32 (30) Incorporated Syfy 0.16 0.20 -20.0% 0.34 Cancelled
33 (32) Aftermath Syfy 0.16 0.20 -20.8% 0.33 Cancelled
34 (33) Van Helsing Syfy 0.16 0.20 -21.3% 0.30 Renewed
35 (34) Ash vs Evil Dead STARZ 0.16 0.20 -21.5% 0.34 Renewed
36 (31) People of Earth TBS 0.31 0.40 -22.5% n/a Renewal Possible
37 (35) Once Upon A Time (O) ABC 0.93 1.21 -23.1% 1.53 Renewed
38 (37) Zoo (O) CBS 0.54 0.70 -23.2% n/a Cancellation Likely
39 (36) Guardians of the Galaxy DXD 0.08 0.10 -24.0% n/a On the Bubble
40 (38) Vampire Diaries (O) (F) CW 0.38 0.50 -24.7% 0.75 Ended
41 (39) Teen Wolf MTV 0.23 0.30 -25.0% 0.44 Final Season
42 (40) Legion (O) FX 0.45 0.60 -25.0% 1.17 Renewed
43 (42) The 100 (O) CW 0.34 0.46 -25.9% 0.64 Renewed
44 (41) Dark Matter Syfy 0.15 0.20 -25.9% 0.40 Renewal Possible
45 (43) Making History (O) NBC 0.67 0.90 -26.2% n/a Cancelled
46 (44) Blood Drive Syfy 0.14 0.20 -29.0% n/a On the Bubble
47 (45) Preacher AMC 0.43 0.60 -29.1% 1.20 Renewal Possible
48 (46) The Mist Spike 0.14 0.20 -30.0% 0.50 On the Bubble
49 (47) The Originals (O) (F) CW 0.32 0.46 -30.9% 0.63 Final Season
50 (48) The Exorcist (O) (F) FOX 0.67 0.98 -31.7% 1.09 Renewed
51 (49) iZombie (O) CW 0.30 0.46 -34.3% 0.63 Renewed
52 (50) The Strain FX 0.38 0.60 -37.5% 0.85 Final Season
53 (52) Wynonna Earp Syfy 0.12 0.20 -37.7% n/a Renewed
54 (51) Scream Queens (O) FOX 0.61 0.98 -37.8% 0.96 Cancelled
55 (53) Agents of SHIELD (O) ABC 0.74 1.21 -39.3% 1.58 Renewed
56 (54) Grimm (O) (F) NBC 0.80 1.35 -40.7% 1.43 Ended
57 (55) The Leftovers HBO 0.35 0.60 -42.1% n/a Final Season
58 (56) Powerless (O) NBC 0.70 1.22 -42.6% n/a Cancelled
59 (57) Beyond Free 0.14 0.25 -42.7% n/a Renewed
60 (58) Emerald City (O) (F) NBC 0.69 1.22 -43.5% 1.23 Cancelled
61 (59) Sleepy Hollow (O) (F) FOX 0.51 0.90 -43.8% 0.94 Cancelled
62 (60) Frequency (O) CW 0.28 0.50 -44.4% 0.51 Cancelled
63 (61) Salem WGN 0.08 0.15 -48.0% n/a Cancelled
64 (62) Falling Water USA 0.15 0.30 -51.0% 0.30 Renewed
65 (63) 12 Monkeys Syfy 0.09 0.20 -53.3% n/a Renewed
66 (64) Time After Time ABC 0.53 1.19 -55.9% 0.70 Cancelled
67 (n/a) Somewhere Between ABC 0.35 0.90 -61.1% n/a Cancellation Likely
68 (65) Twin Peaks Show 0.10 0.25 -61.5% n/a Final Season
69 (66) Dirk Gentlys Holistic Detective Agency BBCA 0.09 0.40 -77.5% n/a Renewed
70 (67) Orphan Black BBCA 0.08 0.40 -80.0% n/a Final Season

Metric Definitions:

Rank (PW): Current rank based on the variance of a show’s season to date ratings average vs. its network’s benchmark (see definition below).  The number in parenthesis is the prior week’s rank.  Note that shows on the streaming services are not included because of insufficient viewership data and foreign imports like Doctor Who will not be included because they rely more heavily on their viewership in their home countries.

Series: (O) indicates the show is owned/produced by the network and/or a sister studio. (F) indicates the show airs on Friday when ratings expectations are lower. These typically just apply to the broadcast networks where they are more of a factor.

StD Avg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic.

Net Bench:  (Network Benchmark) For the broadcast networks, this is the net’s season to date average rating based on the overnights for the 18-49 demographic for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat broadcasts (for FOX, Empire is also excluded because it counts as an outlier).  For the cable channels, this is the lowest level at which a show is typically renewed by that network if there are enough genre entries on that channel to provide a decent sample.  But note that with cable entries intangibles such as international and/or streaming partnerships can play an important factor in a shows survival and that is not measured here.

% Var:  The percent variance between a show’s season to date average and the network benchmark as defined above.  The higher the variance, the better a show is performing vs. the benchmark.

Live+7 Avg Rtg:  The show’s season to date ratings average based on delayed viewing up to three days past the live broadcast.  This data is not available for all shows.

Status: My assessment of the likelihood that a show will get renewed or cancelled. The statuses are Renewal Likely, Renewal Possible, On the Bubble, Cancellation Likely (plus Renewed and Cancelled/Ended)

Ratings Source: ShowBuzzDaily and TV by the Numbers

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