Cancellation Watch Hit List: Braindead is Still Likely to Be Cancelled, Stitchers and Wayward Pines Remain On the Bubble

By | August 24, 2016

You can find the latest edition of the Hit List at this link

The Summer season is winding down now with the official start of the Fall season only a month away (you can get a preview of that at this link) and there are still a few shows currently airing or recently ended awaiting word on their fate. The Hit List (which replaces the Power Rankings) stack ranks all the currently airing and returning shows based on how likely they are to continue for another season and it also includes the most recent cancellations. I have comments on the shows in the category sections below and you can also click on the links in the table to go to the show pages to see season to date ratings and status updates.

The Cancellation Watch Hit List August 2016:

Hit List Status Series Network / Airs (EST) Cancellation Alert StD Rating Net Avg Live+7 Rating
Cancelled/Ending Beauty and the Beast CW / Thu 8 PM Final Season 0.2 n/a n/a
Cancelled/Ending Containment CW / Tue 9 PM Cancelled 0.4 0.6 n/a
Cancelled/Ending Houdini and Doyle FOX / Mon 9 PM Cancelled 0.5 n/a n/a
Cancelled/Ending Hunters Syfy / Mon 10 PM Cancelled 0.1 n/a n/a
Cancelled/Ending Penny Dreadful SHOW / Sun 10 PM Ended 0.2 n/a n/a
Cancelled/Ending Powers PSN / Streaming Cancelled n/a n/a n/a
Cancellation Likely Braindead CBS / Sun 10 PM Elevated 0.4 n/a n/a
On the Bubble Stitchers Freeform / Tue 10 PM Medium 0.1 n/a 0.3
On the Bubble Wayward Pines FOX / Wed 9 PM Moderate 0.7 n/a n/a
Renewal Possible Between Netflix / Streaming Low n/a n/a n/a
Renewal Possible Dark Matter Syfy / Fri 10 PM Moderate 0.2 n/a n/a
Renewal Possible Killjoys Syfy / Fri 9 PM Moderate 0.2 n/a n/a
Renewal Possible Scream MTV / Mon 10 PM Low 0.2 n/a n/a
Renewal Possible Slasher Chill / Fri 9 PM Low 0.0 n/a n/a
Renewal Likely Stranger Things Netflix / Streaming Low 0.0 n/a n/a
Renewal Likely The X-Files FOX / Sun 9 PM Low 3.2 1.4 4.9
Renewed but Struggling The 100 CW / Thu 9 PM Renewed 0.5 0.6 0.8
Renewed but Struggling 12 Monkeys Syfy / Mon 9 PM Renewed 0.1 n/a n/a
Renewed but Struggling Agents of SHIELD ABC / Tue 9 PM Renewed 1.2 1.3 2.1
Renewed but Struggling The Expanse Syfy / Tue 10 PM Renewed 0.2 n/a 0.5
Renewed but Struggling Grimm NBC / Fri 9 PM Renewed 0.9 1.4 1.7
Renewed but Struggling iZombie CW / Tue 9 PM Renewed 0.5 0.6 0.8
Renewed but Struggling The Last Man on Earth FOX / Sun 9 PM Renewed 1.2 1.4 1.8
Renewed but Struggling Lucifer FOX / Mon 9 PM Renewed 1.5 1.4 2.5
Renewed but Struggling The Originals CW / Fri 8 PM Renewed 0.4 0.6 0.7
Renewed but Struggling Salem WGN / TBD Renewed 0.1 n/a n/a
Renewed but Struggling Scream Queens FOX / Tue 9 PM Renewed 1.1 1.4 1.9
Renewed but Struggling The Shannara Chronicles MTV / Tue 10 PM Renewed 0.4 n/a 1.0
Renewed but Struggling Sleepy Hollow FOX / Fri 9 PM Renewed 0.8 1.4 1.5
Renewed but Struggling Supergirl CW / Mon 8 PM Renewed 1.7 1.5 2.5
Renewed but Struggling Vampire Diaries CW / Fri 8 PM Renewed 0.5 0.6 0.9
Renewed but Struggling Wynonna Earp Syfy / Fri 10 PM Renewed 0.1 n/a 0.3
Renewed but Struggling Zoo CBS / Tue 10 PM Renewed 0.7 n/a n/a
Renewed American Horror Story FX / Wed 10 PM Renewed 1.5 n/a n/a
Renewed Ash vs Evil Dead Starz / Sun 8 PM Renewed 0.2 n/a n/a
Renewed Cleverman SUND / Wed 10 PM Renewed 0.0 n/a n/a
Renewed Colony USA / Thu 10 PM Renewed 0.4 n/a 0.8
Renewed Daredevil Netflix / Streaming Renewed n/a n/a n/a
Renewed Doctor Who BBCA / Sat 9 PM Renewed 0.4 n/a 0.7
Renewed From Dusk Till Dawn El Rey / Tue 9 PM Renewed 0.1 n/a n/a
Renewed Gotham FOX / Mon 8 PM Renewed 1.4 1.4 2.4
Renewed Guardians of the Galaxy DXD / Sat 9 PM Renewed 0.1 n/a n/a
Renewed Humans AMC / TBD Renewed 0.4 n/a n/a
Renewed Into the Badlands AMC / Sun 10 PM Renewed 1.8 n/a n/a
Renewed Jessica Jones Netflix / Streaming Renewed n/a n/a n/a
Renewed The Last Ship TNT / Sun 9 PM Renewed 0.5 n/a n/a
Renewed Legends of Tomorrow CW / Thu 8 PM Renewed 0.8 0.6 1.4
Renewed The Librarians TNT / Sun 8 PM Renewed 0.5 n/a n/a
Renewed The Magicians Syfy / Mon 10 PM Renewed 0.3 n/a 0.6
Renewed The Man in the High Castle Amazon / Streaming Renewed n/a n/a n/a
Renewed Mr Robot USA / Wed 10 PM Renewed 0.3 n/a n/a
Renewed Once Upon A Time ABC / Sun 8 PM Renewed 1.4 1.3 2.3
Renewed Orphan Black BBCA / Thu 10 PM Final Season 0.2 n/a n/a
Renewed Outcast MAX / Fri 10 PM Renewed 0.1 n/a n/a
Renewed Preacher AMC / Sun 10 PM Renewed 0.6 n/a n/a
Renewed Saving Hope ION / Tue 11 PM Renewed 0.0 n/a n/a
Renewed Sense8 Netflix / Streaming Renewed n/a n/a n/a
Renewed Shadowhunters ABCF / Tue 9 PM Renewed 0.4 n/a 0.9
Renewed Star Wars Rebels DXD / Wed 9 PM Renewed 0.1 n/a 0.3
Renewed The Strain FX / Sun 10 PM Renewed 0.6 n/a n/a
Renewed Supernatural CW / Thu 9 PM Renewed 0.7 0.6 1.2
Renewed Teen Wolf MTV / Tue 9 PM Renewed 0.4 n/a 0.8
Renewed Z Nation Syfy / TBD Renewed 0.3 n/a n/a
Unassailable Arrow CW / Wed 8 PM Renewed 0.9 0.6 1.5
Unassailable Fear the Walking Dead AMC / Sun 9 PM Renewed 2.2 n/a 3.7
Unassailable The Flash CW / Tue 8 PM Renewed 1.4 0.6 2.2
Unassailable Game of Thrones HBO / Sun 9 PM Renewed 3.9 n/a n/a
Unassailable Outlander Starz / Sat 9 PM Renewed 0.2 n/a 0.5
Unassailable The Walking Dead AMC / Sun 9 PM Renewed 6.5 n/a 9.5

You can see the July Hit List at this link.

houdini-and-doyle-fox-cancelledCancelled/Ending: Joining this group since the last Hit List is FOX’s Houdini & Doyle. But that was expected as it was previously in the Cancellation Likely category based on its low ratings in the U.S. and poor performance overseas. Also, Play Station Network’s Powers joined the cancelled ranks as that streaming service decided to part ways with the superhero show after two seasons (apparently leaving it on somewhat of a cliffhanger).

On the Bubble: Syfy’s Wynonna Earp survived Bubble status from the last Hit List, but Freeform’s Stitchers and FOX’s Wayward Pines are still here. The latter show had to go several months before learning of its second season renewal last year. But the chances of a third season of Stitchers seem to be slipping the longer Freeform waits to make an announcement.

Renewal Possible: The Last Ship and Zoo moved up into the renewed categories, but most the other shows in this category have stayed put since the last Hit List. I previously had Syfy’s Dark Matter and Killjoys pretty close to bubble status due to their ratings slump, but their numbers have improved some the last few weeks. Plus, I believe that the partnership with the Canadian Space Channel will help them to survive into a third season.

Renewal Likely: Netflix’s Daredevil was renewed as expected since the last Hit List and now I am moving Stranger Things into this category. That series has received much praise and apparently drawn plenty of viewers. Plus, Netflix has renewed pretty much all of its shows for at least a second season, so no reason to believe they would stop that trend with this one. The X-Files is still waiting for the behind-the-scenes negotiations to wrap up, but that one will almost certainly be back for another revival season.

cbs-zoo-cancelledRenewed but Struggling: CBS did renew sophomore series Zoo despite its ratings drop-off, but I have a hard time seeing that one survive past its third year if its numbers continue to slip next Summer. Syfy’s Wynonna Earp got the renewal nod, but it could join other Syfy’s two-season-and-done entries like Helix and Dominion if it does not build its audience when it returns. And the CW has confirmed that Vampire Diaries will be heading into its final year this coming season as expected.

Renewed: Joining this category since the last Hit List is Daredevil (Netflix), The Last Ship (TNT), and Mr. Robot (USA). For those last two, don’t be surprised if they wrap up around their fourth or fifth season because that has been about the norm for mid-to-low-rated cable genre entries of late.

Unassailable: With Fear the Walking Dead returning at series low levels this past Sunday, its unassailable status is looking a bit iffy. But it is still one of the top rated scripted shows on cable, and I don’t think it is in any immediate danger. It would not surprise me, though, if they decided to wrap it up (and maybe try a different spin-off) around its fifth season.

Metric Definitions:

Hit List Status: Category indicating the show’s cancellation/renewal prospects.

Cancelled/Ending: This includes cancelled shows from the current season as shows that are in or headed into their final seasons.  Mini-series that have wrapped their runs will be included here as well.

Cancellation Likely: These shows have seriously underperformed in their current season and appear surely headed to cancellation.

On the Bubble: These shows have delivered moderately low numbers which could put their renewal chances in jeopardy.

Renewal Possible: These shows may not be top performers, but are currently doing well enough that renewal looks like a decent possibility.

Renewal Likely: These shows have performed well enough so far in their current season that a renewal seems almost assured.

Renewed but Struggling:  This category captures those shows that have received a renewal notice, but they struggled in their current seasons and could likely be facing cancellation when they return.

Renewed: These shows performed well enough in their latest season to receive the renewal nod and should continue for another season if they hold steady.

Unassailable: These are the shows that face no chance of cancellation in their current/upcoming season and likely beyond that as well.

Cancellation Alert: My prediction of the likelihood that a show will get cancelled (which are more granular than theHit List Status above). From least to most likely the statuses are Low, Moderate, Medium, Elevated, and High.

StD Rating: Season to date average for the rating metric tracked above.

Net Avg:  The season to date average rating for the network for non-sports, non-special, non-repeat programming.  This data is available for the broadcast networks only.

Live+7 Rtg: The season to date average rating based on the Live+7 delayed viewing numbers for the days that data is available.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *