Cancellation Watch: Tuesday Genre Shows The Flash, Agent Carter, Person of Interest, and More Defy the Ratings Slump This Week

By | February 13, 2015

Unless otherwise noted, the ratings numbers below are based on the final overnights and may vary slightly from the preliminaries reported on the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site.

Ratings results for the sci fi / fantasy shows airing Tuesday Feb 10th thru Thursday Feb 12th (analysis and metric definitions below):

The Flash CW Tue 2/10 8 PM
Rating: 1.5 | Tot Viewers (MM): 3.7 | StD Rating: 1.5 | Target: 0.9 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

After slipping some, this show is continuing to pick up steam and it was actually the sixth highest rated show out of seventeen for the night.  That’s an accomplishment for the fifth place network.

Agents of SHIELD ABC Tue 2/10 9 PM
Rating: On Hiatus | Tot Viewers (MM): n/a | StD Rating: 1.7 | Target: 2.0 | Cancellation Alert: Moderate

On hiatus until March 3rd.

Agent Carter ABC Tue 2/10 8 PM
Rating: 1.4 | Tot Viewers (MM): 4.3 | StD Rating: 1.5 | Target: 1.8 | Cancellation Alert: Moderate

A slight improvement from last week, but it needs to go out strong with its last two episodes.

Supernatural CW Tue 2/10 9 PM
Rating: 0.8 | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.0 | StD Rating: 0.9 | Target: 0.9 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

It’s at its lowest level of the season, and you have to wonder if it hasn’t just grown too long in the tooth.  The need to target next season as its last.

Forever ABC Tue 2/10 10 PM
Rating: 1.1 | Tot Viewers (MM): 4.6 | StD Rating: 1.2 | Target: 1.6 | Cancellation Alert: Moderate

It’s up from last week’s low, but I’m still not certain it is doing well enough to justify a second season.  If it does get that, then ABC really was looking at the DVR numbers.

Person of Interest CBS Tue 2/10 10 PM
Rating: 1.6 | Tot Viewers (MM): 9.5 | StD Rating: 1.6 | Target: 1.7 | Cancellation Alert: Low

This show is edging back up, CBS needs to cool it with the repeats and preemptions.  Those keep killing its momentum.

Arrow CW Wed 2/11 8 PM
Rating: 1.1 | Tot Viewers (MM): 2.7 | StD Rating: 1.0 | Target: 0.9 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

Another good outing and the DC characters continue to perform well for The CW.  More are certainly on the way, though I have an idea on on the best way to handle that.

The 100 CW Wed 2/11 9 PM
Rating: 0.5 | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.4 | StD Rating: 0.5 | Target: 0.7 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This show just can’t seem to improve its audience and I’m wondering if The CW may make its third season its last.

Vampire Diaries CW Thu 2/12 8 PM
Rating: 0.7 | Tot Viewers (MM): 1.5 | StD Rating: 0.8 | Target: 0.9 | Cancellation Alert: Renewed

This one continues to fly low, but I guess The CW feels like it is doing well enough for now.

flash-the-cw-cancelledRatings Results:  It has been looking like a ratings slump has set in across the broadcast networks similar to the one we saw about this time last year, but on Tuesday the sci fi / fantasy entries managed to defy that for one night at least as all but one saw their numbers improve.  The CW’s The Flash had a 1.5 rating in the 18-49 demographic, its best numbers since its Fall finale and it was actually the second highest rated genre entry for the night.  ABC’s Agent Carter improved to a 1.4 rating, its best since its second episode.  ABC’s Forever had a 1.1 score, which was its best level since Fall.  And CBS’ Person of Interest improved to a 1.6.  And perhaps both of those last two shows can hold there or better if their networks quit preempting them.  The only genre entry that did not improve for the evening was Supernatural which held steady at a 0.8 rating.  Those improvements for the ABC and CBS shows are in truth pretty small, but anything can help in the current ratings environment.  There was a point as recently as the first half of last year where numbers like that would assure cancellation, but the networks aren’t so quick to pull the trigger these days.  I still have Agent Carter and Forever at a Moderate Cancellation Alert level, and I’m keeping them there for now.  We will have to see how the numbers play out over the coming months and whether these two shows can cling to life at their current levels.

Be sure keep an eye on the Cancelled Sci Fi Twitter Site for the latest numbers and any breaking news throughout the week.  You can see the status of all the currently airing sci fi / fantasy shows at the Cancellation Watch page. And for more information on where I get these numbers and how I make my Cancellation Alert assessments, check out the Cancelled Sci Fi FAQ.

Metric Definitions:

Rating: Overnight rating in the 18-49 demographic for same day viewing based on the final numbers unless otherwise noted

Tot Viewers: Estimated total viewers to tune in to the episode for same day viewing

StD Rating: Season to date average for the rating metric tracked above.

Target: The estimated average rating that the show needs to sustain to get renewed.

Cancellation Alert: My prediction of the likelihood that a show will get cancelled. From least to most likely the statuses are Low, Moderate, Medium, Elevated, and High.

Ratings Source: TV by the Numbers and ShowBuzzDaily

Nielsen TV Ratings: ©2014 The Nielsen Company. All Rights Reserved.

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